Forvia's Stock Falls Below Its €9.41 Support, Down 8% in a Week
The automotive supplier declines at the opening, in a Parisian market weighed down by a resurgence of risk aversion. The stock thus extends a bearish sequence that began in early June and moves further away from its medium-term technical benchmarks.
A Decline that Distances the Stock from Its Three Moving Averages
Forvia's stock loses 2.01% to €9.36 at the start of the session, while the CAC 40 drops more than 1% and the VIX jumps 21% to 20.32. The stock falls below its technical support of €9.41, which has been tested several times in recent weeks. The decline brings the weekly loss to 8.12% and the monthly erosion to 9.8%, erasing the mid-June rebound that had brought the price back to €10.38.
The technical setup remains unfavorable. The price is 10.28% below the MM20 (€10.43) and 9.67% below the MM50 (€10.36), while the MM200 at €11.59 remains out of reach with a negative gap of 19.26%. The RSI at 40 indicates persistent selling pressure without a clear oversold signal, and the MACD remains negatively oriented (line at -0.25, signal at -0.13).
Bearish Pressure Confirmed by the Rise in Net Short Positions
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According to reviewed statements, four funds accumulate a net short position of 3.76% of the capital, up by 0.59 points over thirty days (previously 3.17%). The level now exceeds the 3% threshold and indicates that a significant fraction of institutional investors remain positioned bearishly on the stock. This steady rise, while not massive, reflects a skepticism that has not dissipated despite the mid-June rebound. The underlying context also weighs heavily.
The sale of the Augsburg site in Germany to GDELS, announced on June 18 as part of the Ignite refocusing plan, has not sufficed to stop the decline. At the level of the broader index, Forvia sinks into the lower half of the SBF 120, in a session dominated by sharply declining technology stocks (Soitec, STMicroelectronics). The €9.41 support is now the short-term reference level.
SectorAutomobile et mobilité›Équipementiers automobiles
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -4,3 %
EBITDA: 1 439 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 13,7 %
Net income: 2,6 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 432 millions d'euros
5 642 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
nous confirme avec confiance l'ensemble de ses objectifs pour l'exercice 2026
Risks mentioned
Sous-performance en Chine : ventes en recul de 19,3 % sur un mix clients défavorable (baisse de production BYD).
Production automobile mondiale attendue en baisse de 3,2 % au second semestre 2026.
Rentabilité de Lighting au point bas (marge 0,3 %), retour aux niveaux de 2025 seulement d'ici 2028.
Opportunities identified
Prises de commandes en hausse de 15 % à 13,4 Md€, ratio commandes/CA de 1,5x dans le pôle Growth.
Cession d'Interiors : réduction de la dette nette d'au moins 1,0 Md€ attendue au T4 2026.
Développement d'activités défense : commande initiale d'environ 500 drones intercepteurs.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 20 500 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.