Forvia Shares Bounce 4% and Move Back Above Their 20-Day Moving Average
The automotive supplier rebounds strongly midday, while the SBF 120 index remains stagnant. This movement comes after Citi raised its price target, in a context where bearish bets remain significant in the capital.
A 4% Rebound That Propels the Stock Among the Top Gainers of the SBF 120
Forvia's stock gains 4.02% to €9.36, up from €9.00 the previous day, while the SBF 120 only increases by 0.06%. The stock is among the highest risers in the broad index, alongside ArcelorMittal and Sartorius Stedim Biotech. This surge brings the weekly performance to +5.1%, although the stock is still down 4% over the month and 8.5% over three months. The price moves back above the 20-day moving average (€9.26), a first sign of recovery after the decline that began in June, although the 50-day moving average at €10.02 and the 200-day moving average at €11.43 are still significantly above the current price (respective gaps of 6.6% and 18.1%). The RSI at 43 indicates a still neutral configuration, without directional excess.
Citi Targets €12 and Bearish Bet Still Significant in the Capital
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Citi has initiated or resumed coverage with a buy rating and a target of €12, representing a potential of about 28% compared to the current price. This stance comes in a context where the stock remains behind its medium-term technical benchmarks, despite the rebound sequence observed at the beginning of July. Meanwhile, according to reviewed statements, three funds accumulate 3.46% of the capital sold short, a high level that reflects marked caution from a portion of institutional investors. The bearish pressure has slightly eased over a month (-0.20 point), indicating a start of progressive coverage without capitulation. The identified resistance at €11.59 remains distant; a sustainable crossing of the 50-day moving average at €10.02 would be the next observable technical step.
SectorAutomobile et mobilité›Équipementiers automobiles
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -4,3 %
EBITDA: 1 439 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 13,7 %
Net income: 2,6 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 432 millions d'euros
5 642 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
nous confirme avec confiance l'ensemble de ses objectifs pour l'exercice 2026
Risks mentioned
Sous-performance en Chine : ventes en recul de 19,3 % sur un mix clients défavorable (baisse de production BYD).
Production automobile mondiale attendue en baisse de 3,2 % au second semestre 2026.
Rentabilité de Lighting au point bas (marge 0,3 %), retour aux niveaux de 2025 seulement d'ici 2028.
Opportunities identified
Prises de commandes en hausse de 15 % à 13,4 Md€, ratio commandes/CA de 1,5x dans le pôle Growth.
Cession d'Interiors : réduction de la dette nette d'au moins 1,0 Md€ attendue au T4 2026.
Développement d'activités défense : commande initiale d'environ 500 drones intercepteurs.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 20 500 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.