Forvia stock declines again and loses nearly 23% over three months
Three days after posting the best gain on the SBF 120, the automotive supplier reverses course and is among the most significant declines on the index this Tuesday. The move occurs in a broadly lower European market, amid renewed volatility.
A decline of 3.59% that brings the stock below its first two moving averages
Forvia falls 3.59% to €8.81 in trading, after closing at €9.14 the previous day. The price drops below the 20-day MA (€9.04) and below the 50-day MA (€9.01), with respective gaps of -2.52% and -2.20%. These two moving averages, very close to each other, now form an immediate resistance zone around €9.02-9.04.
The RSI at 53, still neutral, signals no clear oversold configuration at this stage, which suggests the decline shows no readable signs of selling exhaustion thus far. The stock remains, however, far removed from its 200-day MA at €11.04, representing a gap of more than 20%: the underlying trend remains negative over the medium term, as confirmed by a decline of nearly 23% over three months. The €8.56 support level is the next threshold to monitor if selling pressure continues into the afternoon session.
High short positions and persistent tension in the automotive sector context
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According to available filings, four funds hold a cumulative 3.96% of Forvia shares sold short, a level that remains significant even as the trend is easing: this cumulative position decreased by 0.68 percentage points over thirty days (it stood at 4.64% one month earlier). Such a level of short positions indicates that institutional investors maintain a bearish bet on the stock, although the recent reduction does not suggest a complete capitulation of this positioning. The sector context does not help matters: when publishing Q1 2026 results on April 24, 2026, the group had flagged inflationary pressures on its production costs and an unfavorable customer mix in the Seating business in China, while confirming a revenue guidance of €20.5 billion for the current fiscal year. The VIX gained more than 10% in today's trading, a sign of renewed risk aversion that weighs more heavily on cyclical and leveraged stocks such as automotive suppliers. Analyst sentiment and consensus evolution remain a parameter to monitor to determine whether Thursday's August 28 rebound was an isolated spike or the start of stabilization.
SectorAutomobile et mobilité›Équipementiers automobiles
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 10 509 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -4,3 %
EBITDA: 1 439 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 13,7 %
Net income: 2,6 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 432 millions d'euros
5 642 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
nous confirme avec confiance l'ensemble de ses objectifs pour l'exercice 2026
Risks mentioned
Sous-performance en Chine : ventes en recul de 19,3 % sur un mix clients défavorable (baisse de production BYD).
Production automobile mondiale attendue en baisse de 3,2 % au second semestre 2026.
Rentabilité de Lighting au point bas (marge 0,3 %), retour aux niveaux de 2025 seulement d'ici 2028.
Opportunities identified
Prises de commandes en hausse de 15 % à 13,4 Md€, ratio commandes/CA de 1,5x dans le pôle Growth.
Cession d'Interiors : réduction de la dette nette d'au moins 1,0 Md€ attendue au T4 2026.
Développement d'activités défense : commande initiale d'environ 500 drones intercepteurs.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 20 500 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.