Hermès Shares Fall 27% in One Year: Citi Lowers Target to 1,821 Euros
Hermès International shares increased by 1.28% to 1,666.50 euros this Thursday, in a well-oriented Parisian market with the CAC 40 up by 0.74% during the session. The luxury group exhibits a mixed dynamic, with a modest weekly rebound and a significant decline over three months.
Session Marked by Citi's Revised Price Target for Hermès International
Today's session is highlighted by Citi's revision of the price target for Hermès International. The American bank has reduced its target from 1,910 euros to 1,821 euros, while maintaining a neutral recommendation on the stock. This new target still represents a potential upside of about 9.3% compared to the current price. This downward revision comes in a context of a significant decline in the stock, which has lost 21.8% over the last three months and 27.43% over the past year. Among comparable Parisian stocks, L'Oréal stands out with a session gain of 8.42%, while LVMH remains stable (+0.05%). In the United States, Ralph Lauren and Tapestry are down by 2.97% and 2.88% respectively, while Estée Lauder is up by 1.05%. Hermès thus appears as a relatively resilient value within its sector this Thursday. The upcoming half-yearly results, expected on July 29, will be a crucial catalyst for the stock's trajectory.
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Technically, Hermès' stock price is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are at 1,854.92 euros and 2,070.64 euros respectively. This gap illustrates the medium and long-term bearish trend that has characterized the stock for several months. The RSI at 40, in the low zone but not reaching the oversold threshold of 30, signals a still fragile momentum without marked selling excess. The stock remains above the support threshold identified at 1,609 euros, a level that had served as a recent floor. Regarding the Bollinger Bands, the price is at 42% of the band, positioned in the lower half between the low boundary at 1,570.80 euros and the high boundary at 1,797.12 euros.
Le modèle Hermès, fondé sur une distribution exclusive et qualitative, a une nouvelle fois porté ses fruits. Hermès aborde l’année 2026 avec confiance.
Résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d’affaires de 16 002 millions d’euros, croissance à taux constants de 8,9 % et croissance à taux courants de 5,5 %. Résultat opérationnel courant de 6 569 millions d’euros (41,0 % du chiffre d’affaires) et résultat net de 4 524 millions d’euros. Cash flow disponible ajusté de 3 880 millions d’euros; trésorerie nette retraitée à 12 773 millions d’euros. Propositions de dividendes et actions nouvelles pour 2026, avec un accent sur le développement et l’emploi.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d’affaires 2026 est attendu en progression à taux constants sans chiffre précis communiqué.
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé dans le communiqué.
Expected net income: Non précisé dans le communiqué.
Management commentary: Perspectives positives pour 2026, grâce au modèle d’entreprise intégré et à la fidélité de la clientèle, malgré un contexte économique et géopolitique incertain.
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