The French mining group marked a significant acceleration at midday, fully benefiting from the rebound of the Parisian market. This movement allows the stock to extend the momentum started last week and to widen the gap with its short-term technical benchmarks.
Imerys Leads the SBF 120 in a Parisian Market Boosted by Geopolitical Easing
Imerys surged by 5.83% to €23.60, leading the SBF 120 during the session, while the CAC 40 increased by 1.02% and the SBF 120 gained equally. Thus, the stock marked the highest rise in the index, ahead of Atos, Forvia, and Vicat. The movement is part of a much more relaxed market atmosphere, following the framework agreement between Washington and Tehran announced on an extended ceasefire and the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude fell nearly 3.5% in the session to $84.29/barrel, a drop close to 11% since June 4, which reduces the energy costs for heavy industrials including Imerys. Over the week, the stock has gained nearly 7%, and remains close to the technical resistance of €27.94, still distant. The annual performance remains negative at -17.8%.
The Stock Significantly Above Its Three Key Moving Averages
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Today's rebound strengthens the technical recovery that began last week, when the stock had already moved above its MM20 and MM50. At €23.60, the price is now above the MM20 (€21.99, a gap of +7.3%), the MM50 (€21.94, +7.6%) and the MM200 (€22.89, +3.1%), a configuration not seen for several weeks. The RSI at 54 remains in the neutral zone, indicating that today's movement has not yet exhausted the upward momentum. However, the sectoral backdrop remains fragile: the European construction sector, to which the group is exposed through its specialty minerals, continues to be weak (construction climate in France at -17.2 in May, production down 2.8% year-on-year). The next benchmark for operators will be the resistance at €27.94, still more than 18% away.
« Imerys revoit à la hausse ses prévisions pour l'exercice 2026, après trois trimestres consécutifs de croissance » ; « Ces performances confortent notre décision de relever notre prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 »
Risks mentioned
Pressions inflationnistes et conditions de marché difficiles persistantes notamment en Europe
Faiblesse de la demande dans le secteur de la construction et exposition au secteur de la céramique
Impact des variations des taux de change et des quotas de l'UE sur l'importation d'aciers chinois
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence de l'intégration de Great Lakes Minerals et S&B Mineração contribuant déjà aux résultats
Excellente performance de l'activité Graphite et Carbone avec croissance de 16% portée par les véhicules électriques et stockage d'énergie
Amélioration continue des marges grâce au projet Horizon d'amélioration des coûts en avance sur le calendrier
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 580 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « Imerys revoit donc à la hausse sa prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 : elle devrait désormais être comprise entre 570 et 590 millions d'euros, sous réserve de l'absence de dégradation significative de l'environnement opérationnel actuel. »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
