Imerys stock breaks through its 30-session floor at 21.86 €
The industrial minerals specialist is declining mid-morning in a sharply lower Paris market. The session extends a series of pullbacks and brings the stock below several technical benchmarks, one week before its quarterly earnings.
The stock retreats below a former support now acting as resistance
The price of Imerys stock is down 1.82% at 21.56 €, below the lowest point of the last 30 sessions (21.86 €) which it has just broken through and which now acts as resistance. The decline reaches 2.8% over seven days, and the stock is trading below its three moving averages, at 3.01% below the 20-day MA and at 6.50% below the 50-day MA. The RSI at 36 remains above the oversold zone.
The next identified benchmark is the support level at 19.84 €. This movement extends a pullback phase that began several weeks ago: the stock had already abandoned the 21.92 € threshold on October 20. The session is taking place in a CAC 40 that is declining 1.51% and while the yield on the 10-year OAT, at 4.99% according to the latest reading from the Banque de France on October 21, remains close to its highest level since 2004.
A quantified guidance from summer and earnings expected on October 29
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When publishing the first half of 2026 results on July 29, Imerys had set expected EBITDA at 565 million euros for the remainder of the fiscal year. Since then, the stock has mostly moved in the opposite direction of this benchmark: it shows -3.66% over one month, but -0.92% over three months, which indicates that most of the decline is recent. The next event is the publication of third quarter 2026 results, scheduled for October 29.
« Imerys revoit à la hausse ses prévisions pour l'exercice 2026, après trois trimestres consécutifs de croissance » ; « Ces performances confortent notre décision de relever notre prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 »
Risks mentioned
Pressions inflationnistes et conditions de marché difficiles persistantes notamment en Europe
Faiblesse de la demande dans le secteur de la construction et exposition au secteur de la céramique
Impact des variations des taux de change et des quotas de l'UE sur l'importation d'aciers chinois
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence de l'intégration de Great Lakes Minerals et S&B Mineração contribuant déjà aux résultats
Excellente performance de l'activité Graphite et Carbone avec croissance de 16% portée par les véhicules électriques et stockage d'énergie
Amélioration continue des marges grâce au projet Horizon d'amélioration des coûts en avance sur le calendrier
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 580 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « Imerys revoit donc à la hausse sa prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 : elle devrait désormais être comprise entre 570 et 590 millions d'euros, sous réserve de l'absence de dégradation significative de l'environnement opérationnel actuel. »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
