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Medincell Shares Drop 2.91% in Late Afternoon Despite Stifel's Support

Medincell's stock fell by 2.91% on Thursday afternoon, closing at 23.32 euros. This decline occurred amidst high volatility, with the stock losing 15.93% over the past week and over a third of its value over three months. Nonetheless, the stock has seen a positive annual trend, with an increase of 38.97%.


Medincell Shares Drop 2.91% in Late Afternoon Despite Stifel's Support

Stifel Adjusts Price Target for Medincell

This Thursday, Stifel adjusted its price target on Medincell, lowering it from 37 to 33 euros, while reaffirming its 'accumulate' recommendation. This target suggests a potential appreciation of 41.5% from the current stock level. This revision follows another recent analyst action: Oddo BHF raised its target from 27 to 34 euros in mid-January, also maintaining an 'outperform' rating. Both institutions thus display broadly similar stances. The difference between the two targets reflects distinct methodologies in the face of uncertainties surrounding the regulatory and commercial timeline of the Montpellier-based pharmaceutical laboratory.

Medincell, through Partner Teva Pharmaceuticals, Announces Key Regulatory Milestone

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The company announced via its partner Teva Pharmaceuticals that the filing of a European authorization request for olanzapine LAI is expected in the second quarter of 2026. This timeline marks a crucial step in the commercial rollout of this long-acting injectable formulation intended for the treatment of schizophrenia. The now specified schedule targets the main European markets and is part of the laboratory's geographical expansion strategy. This announcement comes at a time when the stock is undergoing a challenging period, trading below its 50-day moving average (26.85 euros) and displaying an RSI indicator of 45, indicating a fragile balance between selling pressure and attempts at stabilization. The increased visibility on the regulatory process could reassure some investors about the growth prospects of the company's product portfolio.



Sector Santé · Biotechnologies · Pharmacie Biotechnologie


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • We are pleased with the company’s growth and momentum.
  • Total income €14,1 million; Revenues €11,6 million (+35 %); UZEDY® royalties €4,2 million; Operating result €(6,6) million (improved 13 % year-over-year); Net result €(16 078) thousand; Cash and low-risk financial investments €53,5 million (incl. €49,8 million cash and €3,7 million low-risk investments); Net financial debt €17 629 thousand; NDA for Olanzapine LAI submitted to FDA on December 9, 2025; AbbVie partnership advancing with regulatory package expected in 2026.
Risks mentioned
  • Foreign exchange risk: weakness of USD vs EUR impacted revenues and generated ~€1 million FX losses
  • Dependency on partner commercialization (Teva) for UZEDY® royalties and sales forecasts
  • Regulatory risk: approvals (e.g., Olanzapine LAI) and acceptance for review uncertain
  • Financial volatility linked to fair value revaluation of EIB BSA warrants (non-cash €6,8 million impact)
Opportunities identified
  • Olanzapine LAI: NDA submitted and potential launch could be a major growth catalyst
  • UZEDY®: upward revision of 2025 net sales forecast by Teva (from $160 million to $190-200 million)
  • AbbVie partnership: first program advancing toward first-in-human trials (regulatory package expected 2026)
  • Gates Foundation financing: new $3 million envelope to advance mdc-STM malaria program
  • Expanded geographic approvals (Canada, South Korea) supporting broader commercialization

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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