MedInCell Shares Jump 5.46%: Technical Rebound After 12% Decline
MedInCell's stock saw a significant increase this Wednesday at midday, posting a gain of 5.46% to 22.02 euros. This rebound occurs in a context of general recovery on the Parisian market, where the CAC 40 is up 1.38% during the session. The Montpellier-based biotech thus erases part of the decline accumulated over recent months.
With a price at 22.02 euros, MedInCell reaches a level close to its 20-day moving average (21.95 euros), which it has crossed upwards. This positive signal should be tempered: the stock is still significantly below its 50-day moving average, located at 23.90 euros, indicating a fundamental bearish trend over recent weeks. Over three months, the stock has indeed declined by nearly 12%, despite a solid annual performance of nearly 48%. The RSI, an indicator measuring the intensity of recent movements, is at 43, in a neutral zone but close to the oversold threshold (30). This positioning suggests that selling pressure has eased, without yet indicating a confirmed bullish reversal. The most relevant technical support is at 20.24 euros, a level that the stock did not breach during its recent decline, thus providing a short-term reference floor.
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The next major deadline for the company, which specializes in sustained-release drug technologies, is set for June 16, 2026, the date of the annual results publication for the fiscal year 2025-2026. This event will be closely watched by market players to assess the commercial and clinical progress of the group, particularly around its BEPO platform. The general environment remains marked by high volatility. Today's rebound on the CAC 40 follows a particularly turbulent session at the beginning of the week, linked to the rapid escalation of geopolitical tensions between Washington and Tehran. This context of uncertainty, illustrated by a VIX at 26.78 on March 20, weighs on mid-cap stocks like MedInCell, whose negative beta of -0.30 indicates an inverse correlation with the market. Among the pharmaceutical sector stocks, Sanofi is up 1.77% and UCB by 1.21% during this Wednesday's session, confirming a favorable dynamic for the health sector on this day.
We are pleased with the company’s growth and momentum.
Total income €14,1 million; Revenues €11,6 million (+35 %); UZEDY® royalties €4,2 million; Operating result €(6,6) million (improved 13 % year-over-year); Net result €(16 078) thousand; Cash and low-risk financial investments €53,5 million (incl. €49,8 million cash and €3,7 million low-risk investments); Net financial debt €17 629 thousand; NDA for Olanzapine LAI submitted to FDA on December 9, 2025; AbbVie partnership advancing with regulatory package expected in 2026.
Risks mentioned
Foreign exchange risk: weakness of USD vs EUR impacted revenues and generated ~€1 million FX losses
Dependency on partner commercialization (Teva) for UZEDY® royalties and sales forecasts
Regulatory risk: approvals (e.g., Olanzapine LAI) and acceptance for review uncertain
Financial volatility linked to fair value revaluation of EIB BSA warrants (non-cash €6,8 million impact)
Opportunities identified
Olanzapine LAI: NDA submitted and potential launch could be a major growth catalyst
UZEDY®: upward revision of 2025 net sales forecast by Teva (from $160 million to $190-200 million)
AbbVie partnership: first program advancing toward first-in-human trials (regulatory package expected 2026)
Gates Foundation financing: new $3 million envelope to advance mdc-STM malaria program
Expanded geographic approvals (Canada, South Korea) supporting broader commercialization
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