Medincell Stock Drops 3.5% and Hits Resistance at €28.52
The Montpellier-based biotech faces a significant halt in late morning trading, after several rebound sessions. The stock plunges to the lower end of the broader index, going against the grain of a well-oriented Parisian market. This movement comes after a particularly dynamic week for the stock.
Medincell's stock loses 3.48% to €28.26, down from €29.28 the previous day. The stock is among the largest declines in the SBF 120, while the broader index is up by 0.71% during the session. This movement contrasts with the recent dynamics: the stock still shows nearly a 13% increase over the week and +21.5% over three months. Over one year, the performance remains very favorable, at +71.6%.
The decline today extends a phase of volatility that began in mid-June, when the publication of annual accounts had led to a 13.5% drop. Since then, the stock has alternated between rebounds and setbacks, before accelerating sharply upwards at the end of last week, culminating in a 5% jump on Tuesday that had brought it to challenge the resistance at €28.52. This level, now broken downwards during the session after being touched the previous day, becomes a technical reference point again.
A Lower Support at €24.08 and a Calendar Focused on Olanzapine LAI
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The price remains well above its three moving averages: the MM20 (€26.65) is exceeded by 6%, the MM50 (€26.38) and the MM200 (€26.27) are surpassed by about 7%. The RSI at 62 indicates a still buying dynamic despite today's air pocket, without a signal of overheating. The next identified support is at €24.08, nearly 15% below the current price.
On the fundamentals side, during the publication of the annual results for 2025/2026 on June 16, 2026, the company highlighted two drivers for the current fiscal year: the continued growth of Uzedy royalties and the commercial launch of Olanzapine LAI, expected in the fourth quarter of 2026. Uzedy royalties had jumped 42% to €9.3 million in the past fiscal year, while the net loss had widened to €31.3 million. The ramp-up in operational expenses to support this expansion remains a point to be monitored by analysts.
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Context
Period
Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
We are pleased with the company’s growth and momentum.
Total income €14,1 million; Revenues €11,6 million (+35 %); UZEDY® royalties €4,2 million; Operating result €(6,6) million (improved 13 % year-over-year); Net result €(16 078) thousand; Cash and low-risk financial investments €53,5 million (incl. €49,8 million cash and €3,7 million low-risk investments); Net financial debt €17 629 thousand; NDA for Olanzapine LAI submitted to FDA on December 9, 2025; AbbVie partnership advancing with regulatory package expected in 2026.
Risks mentioned
Foreign exchange risk: weakness of USD vs EUR impacted revenues and generated ~€1 million FX losses
Dependency on partner commercialization (Teva) for UZEDY® royalties and sales forecasts
Regulatory risk: approvals (e.g., Olanzapine LAI) and acceptance for review uncertain
Financial volatility linked to fair value revaluation of EIB BSA warrants (non-cash €6,8 million impact)
Opportunities identified
Olanzapine LAI: NDA submitted and potential launch could be a major growth catalyst
UZEDY®: upward revision of 2025 net sales forecast by Teva (from $160 million to $190-200 million)
AbbVie partnership: first program advancing toward first-in-human trials (regulatory package expected 2026)
Gates Foundation financing: new $3 million envelope to advance mdc-STM malaria program
Expanded geographic approvals (Canada, South Korea) supporting broader commercialization
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.