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Medincell Stock Ends Monday Down 4.37%

The biotechnology lab's stock shows a pronounced decline at the end of the session, resulting from profit-taking after two months of strong accumulation. The price settles at €36.78, marking a retreat from the resistance of €38.46 tested the day before. Medincell thus continues its long-term bullish structuring, even though November 3 marks a welcome pause in this upward movement.


Medincell Stock Ends Monday Down 4.37%

End of Day Performance

At the close of Monday, Medincell settled at €36.78, down 4.37% from Friday's price of €38.46. This movement occurs in a context where the stock has been accumulating significant gains for several weeks. Over the last seven days, the stock has advanced 2.17%, reflecting a short-term improvement despite the day's decline. Over three months, the performance peaks at 131.6%, illustrating the magnitude of the ongoing upward phase. The contrast between this quarterly progression and today's contraction reflects a normal consolidation after weeks of bullish tension. On an annual basis, Medincell has progressed by 141.3%, significantly outperforming the general market. For comparison, the CAC 40 shows an annual progression of 9.46% and declines by 0.14% on November 3. Medincell thus records a performance gap of over 130 percentage points compared to the reference index over twelve months, illustrating a speculative revaluation phase of the stock since the beginning of the year. This dynamic remains remarkably favorable, even if today invites a balanced reading. The share of capital traded stands at 0.35%, signaling moderate liquidity and low intense flows at the end of the session. This exchange weakness is compatible with an end of the day where positions are restructuring.

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From a technical standpoint, Medincell is in an environment of marked buying tension. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) peaks at 73, indicating significant overbought conditions and suggesting a possible short-term technical correction. The stock is well above its fifty-day moving average, positioned at €25.39, and its long-term two-hundred-day moving average, set at €17.92. This configuration confirms a structuring in an upward trend for several months. The Stochastic indicator gives a buy signal, in accordance with this accumulation dynamic. The Bollinger Bands frame the stock between €26.10 and €40.43, with the current price close to the upper threshold, signaling an extreme position within this statistical envelope. The On-Balance Volume (OBV) is rising, while the Money Flow Index (MFI) at 0.26 indicates moderate accumulation rather than overflowing conviction. The annualized volatility reaches 21.40%, a coherent profile for a biotechnology value exposed to regulatory and clinical announcements. The immediate resistance at €38.46, approached on Friday, stands as a key point to monitor. The technical support is established at €21.40, a pivot point for a potential broader consolidation.



Sector Santé · Biotechnologies · Pharmacie Biotechnologie


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • We are pleased with the company’s growth and momentum.
  • Total income €14,1 million; Revenues €11,6 million (+35 %); UZEDY® royalties €4,2 million; Operating result €(6,6) million (improved 13 % year-over-year); Net result €(16 078) thousand; Cash and low-risk financial investments €53,5 million (incl. €49,8 million cash and €3,7 million low-risk investments); Net financial debt €17 629 thousand; NDA for Olanzapine LAI submitted to FDA on December 9, 2025; AbbVie partnership advancing with regulatory package expected in 2026.
Risks mentioned
  • Foreign exchange risk: weakness of USD vs EUR impacted revenues and generated ~€1 million FX losses
  • Dependency on partner commercialization (Teva) for UZEDY® royalties and sales forecasts
  • Regulatory risk: approvals (e.g., Olanzapine LAI) and acceptance for review uncertain
  • Financial volatility linked to fair value revaluation of EIB BSA warrants (non-cash €6,8 million impact)
Opportunities identified
  • Olanzapine LAI: NDA submitted and potential launch could be a major growth catalyst
  • UZEDY®: upward revision of 2025 net sales forecast by Teva (from $160 million to $190-200 million)
  • AbbVie partnership: first program advancing toward first-in-human trials (regulatory package expected 2026)
  • Gates Foundation financing: new $3 million envelope to advance mdc-STM malaria program
  • Expanded geographic approvals (Canada, South Korea) supporting broader commercialization

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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