MedInCell Stock Plummets 27% Over Three Months, Breaking Key Support
MedInCell shares experience a significant drop this Thursday, losing 4.35% to 21.10 euros during the session, in a Parisian market that is also trending downward. This slide extends an unfavorable streak that began several weeks ago, with a decline of nearly 11% over seven days and more than 27% over three months.
Falling to 21.10 euros, MedInCell now trades below its identified support threshold of 21.32 euros, a level that had previously served as a reference floor for the stock. The price is also beneath the lower Bollinger band (21.41 euros), indicating unusual selling pressure and a significant deviation from recent average levels. The 50-day moving average, positioned at 24.68 euros, remains well above the current price, confirming the medium-term downward trend. The RSI is at 41, a level that, while not indicating extreme overselling, reflects a continuing weakening of the bullish momentum. Regarding indices, the CAC 40 is down 0.39% in the session and the SBF 120 is down 0.34%, a generally slightly negative context that, however, does not fully explain the extent of the downturn of the Montpellier-based biotech stock.
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Although the correction over the last three months amounts to 27.64%, MedInCell's performance over the past year remains significantly positive, at +55.83%. This discrepancy highlights the characteristic volatility of biotechnological stocks, whose market trajectories are often marked by phases of acceleration followed by pronounced consolidations. The monthly volatility of the stock is set at 15.25, while its beta, at only 0.22, indicates a low correlation with general market movements. The next key event for the company specializing in long-term injection technologies is scheduled for June 16, 2026, the date of the publication of the annual results for the fiscal year 2025-2026. Until then, the absence of identified catalysts leaves the stock primarily under the influence of market flows and technical levels. The nearest resistance is at 25.02 euros, more than 18% above the current price, a gap that illustrates the extent of the journey needed to return to the levels at the beginning of the year.
We are pleased with the company’s growth and momentum.
Total income €14,1 million; Revenues €11,6 million (+35 %); UZEDY® royalties €4,2 million; Operating result €(6,6) million (improved 13 % year-over-year); Net result €(16 078) thousand; Cash and low-risk financial investments €53,5 million (incl. €49,8 million cash and €3,7 million low-risk investments); Net financial debt €17 629 thousand; NDA for Olanzapine LAI submitted to FDA on December 9, 2025; AbbVie partnership advancing with regulatory package expected in 2026.
Risks mentioned
Foreign exchange risk: weakness of USD vs EUR impacted revenues and generated ~€1 million FX losses
Dependency on partner commercialization (Teva) for UZEDY® royalties and sales forecasts
Regulatory risk: approvals (e.g., Olanzapine LAI) and acceptance for review uncertain
Financial volatility linked to fair value revaluation of EIB BSA warrants (non-cash €6,8 million impact)
Opportunities identified
Olanzapine LAI: NDA submitted and potential launch could be a major growth catalyst
UZEDY®: upward revision of 2025 net sales forecast by Teva (from $160 million to $190-200 million)
AbbVie partnership: first program advancing toward first-in-human trials (regulatory package expected 2026)
Gates Foundation financing: new $3 million envelope to advance mdc-STM malaria program
Expanded geographic approvals (Canada, South Korea) supporting broader commercialization
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