Medincell's stock closed this Thursday, January 8th at 25.66 euros, slightly down by 0.16% compared to the previous day. The share of capital traded reached 0.47%, a satisfactory level of activity that reflects sustained investor interest. Over the week, the stock has maintained a positive momentum with an increase of 1.83%, while the annual performance remains impressive with a gain of 49.01%. However, this session is part of a consolidation phase after the sharp rise recorded since the beginning of the year 2025. The technical context shows that the stock is now trading below its 50-day moving average, which stands at 28.94 euros, a level that acts as a short-term resistance. The RSI is at 42, indicating a neutral zone without an oversold signal, but reflects some fatigue after recent gains. Investors are closely monitoring the support threshold at 23.90 euros, which could represent a buying zone in case of a significant decline.
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The recent context for Medincell has been marked by its inclusion in the MSCI World Small Cap index announced on November 10, 2025, an event that had sparked the interest of institutional investors. However, perspectives remain mixed among analysts. Jefferies maintains its buy recommendation with a revised price target of 50 euros, representing a potential upside of nearly 95% from the current price. On the other hand, TP Icap Midcap has lowered its recommendation to hold with a target at 32 euros, reflecting a more cautious view after the strong appreciation of the stock. Volatility remains high with a one-month level of 13.58, which requires vigilance from short-term investors. The MACD histogram is established at 0.07, signaling a potential slight technical rebound but without a clear confirmation of a resumption of the upward trend. The company, driven by the commercialization of UZEDY in the United States by its partner Teva, continues to attract market attention in a closely monitored biotechnology sector.
We are pleased with the company’s growth and momentum.
Total income €14,1 million; Revenues €11,6 million (+35 %); UZEDY® royalties €4,2 million; Operating result €(6,6) million (improved 13 % year-over-year); Net result €(16 078) thousand; Cash and low-risk financial investments €53,5 million (incl. €49,8 million cash and €3,7 million low-risk investments); Net financial debt €17 629 thousand; NDA for Olanzapine LAI submitted to FDA on December 9, 2025; AbbVie partnership advancing with regulatory package expected in 2026.
Risks mentioned
Foreign exchange risk: weakness of USD vs EUR impacted revenues and generated ~€1 million FX losses
Dependency on partner commercialization (Teva) for UZEDY® royalties and sales forecasts
Regulatory risk: approvals (e.g., Olanzapine LAI) and acceptance for review uncertain
Financial volatility linked to fair value revaluation of EIB BSA warrants (non-cash €6,8 million impact)
Opportunities identified
Olanzapine LAI: NDA submitted and potential launch could be a major growth catalyst
UZEDY®: upward revision of 2025 net sales forecast by Teva (from $160 million to $190-200 million)
AbbVie partnership: first program advancing toward first-in-human trials (regulatory package expected 2026)
Gates Foundation financing: new $3 million envelope to advance mdc-STM malaria program
Expanded geographic approvals (Canada, South Korea) supporting broader commercialization
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
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