Pernod Ricard is experiencing a notable increase this Tuesday, supported by a favorable weekly momentum two days before the announcement of its quarterly revenue. The stock is trading at 66.64 euros, in a Parisian market that is also trending upwards with the CAC 40 increasing by 0.85% during the session.
The day before, Jefferies lowered its price target on Pernod Ricard from 100 to 95 euros, while maintaining a buy recommendation. This target suggests a potential upside of about 42% from the current price, a significant gap that reflects the discount accumulated by the stock over the last twelve months (-26.51%). Today's 2.05% rebound extends an already positive week, with a 5.74% increase over seven days. This movement is primarily in anticipation of the third-quarter 2025-2026 revenue, scheduled for April 16, with annual results planned for August 27.
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Despite today's rise, the stock remains well below its medium and long-term moving averages. The current price of 66.64 euros is below the 50-day moving average, which is at 73.04 euros, and far from the 200-day moving average at 82.55 euros, indicating a still prevalent downward trend over several months. The RSI is at 45, a neutral level that indicates neither an oversold nor an overbought zone. Regarding the Bollinger Bands, the stock is trading in the upper part of the channel, at 73% of the range between the lower bound (60.70 euros) and the upper bound (68.85 euros). The next resistance threshold is identified at 78.26 euros, which is still a notable gap from the current level. In the sector, among comparable European values, L'Oréal has advanced by 0.71% while Unilever has declined by 1.79%.
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Context
Period
Period: FY2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 9 404 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -14,2 %
EBITDA: 2 575 millions d'euros
Net income: 1 203 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 1 197 millions d'euros
10 662 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Nous anticipons un chiffre d'affaires organique globalement stable sur l'ensemble de l'exercice, dans un environnement contrasté et incertain
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 9 440 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Nous visons un ratio Dette Nette/ EBITDA inférieur à 3x d'ici 2028/29
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
