Pernod Ricard Stock Breaks Its Support at €68.48 and Falls 20% in One Month
In this Monday's session on March 16, Pernod Ricard's stock shows two concurrent technical signals: a break of key support and a monthly change exceeding the alert threshold. These two factors reinforce each other, creating a persistent selling pressure on the stock.
Pernod Ricard's stock fell by 1.66% during the session to €67.38, after closing at €68.52 on Friday. The stock thus broke below the support level at €68.48, a threshold that had previously contained recent declines—the price on March 12 was exactly at this level. This technical break is part of a broader movement: over the past month, the stock has declined by more than 20%, exceeding the statistical anomaly threshold used for signal detection. Both indicators point in the same direction and feed into each other: the break of support validates the monthly slide, while the extent of this slide illustrates the structural pressure weighing on the stock. Over seven days, the decline reaches 8.15%, and over a year, the loss exceeds 29%.
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The RSI stands at 18, in a marked oversold territory, while the stock price is significantly below its two reference moving averages: the MM50 is at €76.81 and the MM200 at €84.83, representing respective gaps of more than €9 and €17 from the current price. The gap in the MACD (-2.54 / -1.36) confirms the negative dynamic. Additionally, the VIX closed at 27.29 points on March 12, up 12.63% from the previous session, indicating increased tension in the equity markets. In this context, the CAC 40 slightly declined by 0.08% during the session. The next important date for Pernod Ricard is set for April 16, 2026, when the company will publish its third-quarter 2025-2026 revenue.
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Context
Period
Period: FY2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 9 404 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -14,2 %
EBITDA: 2 575 millions d'euros
Net income: 1 203 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 1 197 millions d'euros
10 662 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Nous anticipons un chiffre d'affaires organique globalement stable sur l'ensemble de l'exercice, dans un environnement contrasté et incertain
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 9 440 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Nous visons un ratio Dette Nette/ EBITDA inférieur à 3x d'ici 2028/29
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.