On Tuesday, February 10th, at midday, Rémy Cointreau's stock price has increased by 3.41%, reaching 44.90 euros. This performance strengthens a rebound that has been underway for several weeks, in a context of a timid recovery in the high-end spirits sector.
The Cognac-based group has surpassed its resistance level at 43.94 euros, confirming the strength of the upward trend that began at the start of the month. The 50-day moving average, positioned at 38.65 euros, is now significantly exceeded, indicating an acceleration of the rebound. However, the RSI indicator stands at 71, a level that signals an overbought situation and suggests a possible short-term consolidation phase. The stock is also trading above its upper Bollinger band set at 43.69 euros, illustrating strong buying momentum. Over the week, the stock has gained 12.87%, while the quarterly increase is at 6.4%, even though the annual decline remains significant at nearly 10%.
Ongoing Recovery Challenges
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Despite this recent improvement, Rémy Cointreau remains below its 200-day moving average, set at 46.17 euros, indicating that the recovery is still incomplete in the medium term. The monthly volatility of 11.87 reflects a stock still sensitive to market fluctuations, while a negative beta of -0.37 indicates a decoupling from the benchmark index. Visibility on the fundamental prospects of the group remains challenged by an uncertain macroeconomic context in Asia, a strategic market for luxury spirits. The support level identified at 36.30 euros represents the fallback level in case of a downturn, while the company still needs to prove its ability to regain ground sustainably.
SectorGrande consommation · Vins et spiritueux · Boissons›Distilleries et producteurs de vin
Context
Period
Period: 1T 2025-26
Guidance from the release
Ventes S1 à 489,6, en recul de -8,3% publié et -4,2% organique. Amériques +12,8%, APAC -14,8%, EMEA -9,2%. Par division : Cognac 300,2 (-12,1% publié, -7,6% organique), Liqueurs & Spiritueux 182,7 (+0,5% publié, +4,1% organique), Marques Partenaires 6,7 (-35,9% publié, -35,7% organique). Objectifs 2025-26 abaissés ; ROC attendu en fort recul organique. Impact défavorable des devises mentionné.
Risks mentioned
détérioration des conditions de marché en Chine
effets de phasage négatifs
impact calendaire lié au décalage du Mid-Autumn Festival
perturbations résiduelles dans le Travel Retail
Opportunities identified
forte croissance des ventes en Amériques
lancement de Rémy Martin VS en Afrique du Sud et au Nigéria (prometteur)
résilience des depletions et succès des campagnes marketing
lancement du ready-to-serve Cointreau Citrus Spritz
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Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
