Renault Stock Leads CAC 40, +4% in One Month

BNP Paribas Exane Raises Renault Target to €40 with Outperform Rating

BNP Paribas Exane raised its price target on Renault on Tuesday from €39 to €40, while maintaining an outperform opinion on the stock. At the current price of €29.83, this target represents an upside potential of approximately 34%. This analyst support comes as the stock extends the rebound initiated early in the month, following a difficult week marked by disappointing commercial data on the French market in August, as shown by August sales decline. According to the consensus of analysts surveyed, the value is trading at approximately 4.5 times expected earnings for the current fiscal year, a valuation that BNP Paribas Exane's rating considers manifestly insufficient given the group's potential.

Technical Configuration Improves, with Intraday Resistance Breakout and High Net Short Positions

From a market indicators perspective, the stock broke above its intraday resistance (€29.72), before pulling back slightly below it (last price: €29.71), a sign of real buying pressure even if the breakout has not yet been consolidated. Renault is trading above its 20-day moving average at €28.57 (spread of 4.4%) and above its 50-day moving average at €27.41 (spread of 8.8%), but remains below its 200-day moving average at €30.16, approximately 1% below this medium-term reference. The RSI at 57 remains in neutral territory, consistent with a gradual recovery rather than an overbought movement. Over one month, the gain reaches 4.2%, and quarterly performance stands at 11.3%.

Furthermore, according to filed declarations, six funds combine 6.41% of capital in net short positions, nearly stable over thirty days (-0.03 point). This level, which remains elevated, reflects a notable fraction of institutional investors positioned against the stock or seeking to hedge an exposure, without having increased their positions in recent weeks. The 200-day moving average at €30.16 represents the next technical threshold to monitor to confirm a fundamental trend reversal.