Resistance at €36.82 broken: Ipsos share settles above ahead of Q3
The market research group accelerates sharply in trading, in a slightly bullish Paris market. The movement is accompanied by the breakthrough of a technical benchmark followed for several weeks. It is also part of an already well-advanced share buyback program.
Resistance at €36.82 broken and held above the three moving averages
The Ipsos share gains 3.25% to €37.50 in early afternoon, against an SBF 120 advancing 0.38%. During the session, the stock broke through its resistance at €36.82 on the upside and is holding above it. This passage places it 5.63% above its MA20 and 4.43% above its MA200, following a 4.34% gain over the week. The next high benchmark, identified at €42.66, remains more than 13% from the current price. The rebound initiated on October 9 thus finds an extension, and the stock ranks in the upper part of the SBF 120 table.
A share buyback program executed at nearly 60% and results expected on October 23
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Announced on July 22, the €57 million share buyback program was executed at approximately 59% by October 13, with €34 million already repurchased. Over twelve months, the group repurchased €97 million of its own shares, or 6.0% of its market capitalization, which reduces the number of shares in circulation. Based on the consensus of surveyed analysts, the share trades at approximately 7.2 times the earnings of the current fiscal year, with earnings per share growth expected at 8.4% next year. The next milestone is the publication of third quarter 2026 results, scheduled for October 23.
Au regard de la performance réalisée au cours des neuf premiers mois de l’année et du niveau du carnet de commandes à fin septembre, le Groupe révise son objectif de croissance organique pour l’exercice 2026, désormais compris entre 1,2 % et 1,5 % (au S1 : « autour de 2 % »)
Risks mentioned
Middle East conflict has adversely affected activity in the region, a historically strong growth zone
Americas segment remains below expectations with -1.2% organic growth in Q3 due to delays in Horizons strategic plan execution
Persistent uncertainty in macroeconomic and geopolitical environment limiting growth visibility
Opportunities identified
Strong recovery in Citizens business segment with 4.7% organic growth over 9 months and 8.6% in Q3, driven by multi-year contract wins
Acceleration in Asia-Pacific region reaching 2.8% organic growth over 9 months and 4.3% in Q3, supported by momentum in China and India
Rapid growth in Ipsos.Digital DIY platform with 14% organic growth, expanding AI capabilities and synthetic respondents
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 2 559 millions d'euros
Management commentary: PERSPECTIVES : « Au regard de la performance réalisée au cours des neuf premiers mois de l’année et du niveau du carnet de commandes à fin septembre, le Groupe révise son objectif de croissance organique pour l’exercice 2026, désormais compris entre 1,2 % et 1,5 %, contre 0,6 % en 2025. Cette perspective tient également compte d’un environnement macroéconomique et géopolitique toujours incertain, notamment marqué par les répercussions du conflit au Moyen-Orient sur les activités du Groupe dans la région. Le Groupe confirme son objectif d’un taux de marge opérationnelle au niveau de 2025, reflétant sa capacité à maintenir une discipline financière rigoureuse tout en poursuivant les investissements nécessaires à l’exécution de son plan stratégique Horizons. »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
