Safran's Stock Soars Over 4% Breaking the €306 Resistance
The aerospace engine manufacturer continues its upward trajectory, ranking among the top gainers on the CAC 40. The geopolitical relaxation observed this Monday benefits the entire sector, as the stock extends an already well-established bullish movement over the month.
The Stock Breaks the €306.10 Resistance and Moves Away from All Its Moving Averages
Safran's stock is up 4.25% at €319.10 mid-morning, marking one of the strongest increases on the CAC 40 while the Paris index is up by 1.07%. The stock has broken through the €306.10 resistance, identified as a technical lock, and has increased its monthly gain to 12.68%. The price is significantly above its three moving averages, with a gap of 8.72% on the MM20 (€293.51), 9.79% on the MM50 (€290.65), and 6.30% on the MM200 (€300.18). The RSI at 59 indicates a bullish momentum without yet signaling overheating, which leaves room before entering the overbought zone. The performance over one year now reaches 26%.
US-Iran Agreement on Hormuz and Brent's Decline Revitalize the Entire Aerospace Sector
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Today's rebound follows the framework agreement announced between Washington and Tehran, extending the 60-day ceasefire and planning the gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent has fallen about 4% to $83.6 a barrel, a relaxation that eases the pressure on the costs of airlines and, by extension, on the demand for engine manufacturers. Airbus is up 3.65% in the same movement. This sectoral configuration reverses that of June 8, when the surge in the barrel due to tensions in the Middle East had caused the stock to drop by 2% at the opening. Industrially, the group confirmed in early June a significant ramp-up of its AASM Hammer air-to-ground armament, with a production target increased to 1,400 units in 2026 from 200 in 2022. The next technical level to watch: the €320 zone, already tested as a recent high.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
