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SES Share Rises 2.55% at Close Despite a Declining Market


SES Share Rises 2.55% at Close Despite a Declining Market

SES, the Luxembourg-based satellite operator listed on Euronext Paris, ended the trading session on Tuesday, December 9, with a gain of 2.55% at 5.43 euros, starkly contrasting with the decline of the CAC 40, which fell by 0.69% to 8,052.51 points. The stock thus demonstrated a performance decoupled from the Parisian market, confirmed by its beta close to zero (-0.01), indicating an evolution almost independent of the index movements. However, trading remained modest with only 0.1% of the capital traded during the day. Over a week, the stock remains under pressure with a decline of 1.18%, reflecting a more fragile short-term trend. The recent context remains mixed for the satellite communications operator. Over three months, the stock has declined by 5.31%, illustrating a consolidation phase after a spectacular surge of 63.31% over a year, a performance that far exceeds that of the CAC 40 at 8.42% over the same period. This strong annual progression is notably due to the completion of the acquisition of Intelsat in July 2025, thus creating the world's largest multi-orbit operator. The stock is currently trading 14.2% below its 50-day moving average at 6.28 euros and remains technically pressured over several sessions.

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Technical analysis reveals a stock in a neutral but fragile zone. The RSI at 56 indicates a balanced configuration, with no overbought or oversold signals, leaving the possibility for movement in either direction. The MACD shows encouraging signs with a positive histogram at 0.05, suggesting a possible resurgence of bullish momentum after several weeks of consolidation. However, the MACD line remains negative at -0.13, indicating a still hesitant underlying trend. The stock is trading within the Bollinger Bands between 4.84 and 5.75 euros, approaching the upper boundary after today's session, which may indicate a desire for technical recovery. Key levels to watch remain the support at 4.85 euros, tested several times in recent weeks, and the major resistance at 7.06 euros, which is the target for buyers to validate a trend reversal. The one-month volatility reaches 15.21%, a high level for a stock in this sector, reflecting the ongoing uncertainty among investors. The negative On Balance Volume at -517,195 and the Chaikin Money Flow at -0.06 still signal a net outflow of capital in recent weeks, suggesting that buying conviction needs to be consolidated despite today's rebound.

Without a news catalyst identified to explain today's rebound, the movement seems more technical than operational. The stock may be benefiting from a catch-up effect after the weekly decline, in a context where investors are reassessing the situation following the completion of the merger with Intelsat and the announcement in July of the GovSat-2 satellite order with the Luxembourg government. SES operates a fleet of over 70 satellites in geostationary orbit and 700 in medium Earth orbit. The group was also designated in December 2024 to lead the SpaceRISE consortium tasked with the European sovereign connectivity system IRIS2, a strategic contract to follow. The stock's ability to sustainably cross its 50-day moving average will be crucial to confirm a new bullish cycle after several months of digestion.



Sector Télécommunications Équipements de Télécommunications


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T/9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • I am pleased to report our solid 9 months 2025 results which include the first quarter for the combined company following the successful close of the Intelsat acquisition on 17 July 2025.
  • Croissance tirée par le segment Networks (Aviation, Government), intégration d'Intelsat en bonne voie, carnet de commandes brut de €7,1 billion, lancements O3b mPOWER 9 & 10 réussis et règlement d'assurance partiel d'environ $87 million.
Risks mentioned
  • Risque de ne pas atteindre les synergies attendues de l’acquisition d’Intelsat
  • Retards ou échecs de lancements ou problèmes opérationnels des satellites
  • Risques réglementaires et obtention d’approbations
  • Pressions concurrentielles et évolution technologique réduisant la demande
Opportunities identified
  • Positionnement multi-orbit renforcé pour capter la croissance longue durée
  • Expansion du business Aviation (plus de 3,000 tails; 200 nouveaux tails gagnés depuis clôture)
  • Opportunités gouvernementales (contrats STN, PTS-G)
  • Augmentation de capacité et résilience avec les satellites O3b mPOWER supplémentaires
  • Carnet de commandes et renouvellements importants (nouveau business et renewals > €1,4 billion YTD)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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