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SES Stock: Significant Weekly Correction in a Pressured Market

SES stock experienced a particularly turbulent week in the markets, posting one of the steepest declines among large caps. In an environment still marked by the retreat of European indices, the drop in the stock was much more pronounced than that of the CAC 40 and the SBF 120. The price movement comes as the latest financial results of the group have just been released.


SES Stock: Significant Weekly Correction in a Pressured Market

A Challenging Week for SES on Euronext Paris

The week proved very difficult for SES on Euronext Paris. At close, the stock settled at 5.14 euros, down 24.8% over five sessions. This drop occurred in a deteriorated stock market context, yet it was significantly greater than that of the CAC 40 (-2.54%) and the SBF 120 (-2.6%) over the same period. Trading volumes indicate increased capital turnover, reflecting the prevailing nervousness. Over twelve months, however, SES's performance remains positive, with an increase of 46.77%. Since the beginning of the year, the stock had even increased by more than 70%, driven by the theme of European technological sovereignty and a record order book – before this brutal correction. This market movement was primarily concentrated on Thursday, with the publication of financial results triggering a wave of profit-taking and rebalancing.

Results Dominated by Nine-Month Performance

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The context was dominated by the publication of the group's nine-month results. Although SES reported sustained growth in revenue (+19.8%, 1.75 billion euros) and adjusted EBITDA (+11%, at 849 million euros), the contraction in margins weighed heavily on the course of the stock. The adjusted EBITDA margin was established at 49%, compared to 53% a year earlier, a direct consequence of the integration of Intelsat in July. This more pronounced deterioration in margins than expected was penalized by the market, which anticipated a stronger resistance from the group to this structural challenge. Furthermore, SES confirmed its targets for 2025, projecting revenue between 2.6 and 2.7 billion euros and an EBITDA of 1.17 to 1.21 billion euros. Despite this confident outlook and a solid order book of 7.1 billion euros, the profit-taking erased a significant portion of the gains accumulated since the beginning of the year.

Technical Perspective on the Stock

From a technical standpoint, the stock closes exactly on its main support threshold, at 5.14 euros, after having touched a weekly low of 5.27 euros and a high of 6.82 euros. Indicators show marked tension: the RSI plunges to 28, indicating a return to historically low zones, in line with market indicators. The 50-day moving average, located at 6.30 euros, remains above the current price, as does the 200-day average at 5.51 euros, signaling an exit from the bullish channel observed in recent months. The Bollinger Bands stretch between 5.56 euros (lower) and 7.33 euros (upper), revealing increased volatility, amplified by a very low beta (0.07) which indicates independent behavior from major indices. The price momentum remains downward, as suggested by the negative MACD and positioning below all major moving averages.



Sector Télécommunications Équipements de Télécommunications


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T/9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • I am pleased to report our solid 9 months 2025 results which include the first quarter for the combined company following the successful close of the Intelsat acquisition on 17 July 2025.
  • Croissance tirée par le segment Networks (Aviation, Government), intégration d'Intelsat en bonne voie, carnet de commandes brut de €7,1 billion, lancements O3b mPOWER 9 & 10 réussis et règlement d'assurance partiel d'environ $87 million.
Risks mentioned
  • Risque de ne pas atteindre les synergies attendues de l’acquisition d’Intelsat
  • Retards ou échecs de lancements ou problèmes opérationnels des satellites
  • Risques réglementaires et obtention d’approbations
  • Pressions concurrentielles et évolution technologique réduisant la demande
Opportunities identified
  • Positionnement multi-orbit renforcé pour capter la croissance longue durée
  • Expansion du business Aviation (plus de 3,000 tails; 200 nouveaux tails gagnés depuis clôture)
  • Opportunités gouvernementales (contrats STN, PTS-G)
  • Augmentation de capacité et résilience avec les satellites O3b mPOWER supplémentaires
  • Carnet de commandes et renouvellements importants (nouveau business et renewals > €1,4 billion YTD)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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