Societe Generale Shares Drop 2.81% to €67.44, Becoming the CAC 40's Biggest Loser
Societe Generale's stock price falls to €67.44 mid-morning, marking the largest decline in the CAC 40. The bank thus loses the ground it gained last week, while the Paris index drops 0.55% and Brent oil rebounds to $106.
Biggest Drop in the CAC 40, Below All Short-Term Averages
Societe Generale trails the CAC 40 this morning, ahead of Capgemini (-2.05%) and Stellantis (-2.03%). The stock falls 2.81% to €67.44, down from a close of €69.39 the previous day. The decline occurs amid renewed tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, which pushes Brent to $106.46. The geopolitical risk premium affects all European cyclical stocks. The stock price has fallen below its 20-day moving average (€70.31) and 50-day moving average (€68.08), with respective gaps of 4.08% and 0.94%. The 200-day moving average at €62.77 remains 7.44% below the current price, which preserves the medium-term upward trend. The stock also approaches the lower Bollinger band at €66.13, 16% of the band, indicating buyer exhaustion after the rebound on May 6. Over three months, the bank shows a decline of 6.1%, despite a gain of 44.1% over the year.
UBS Raises Target to €86.10, with the May 27 AGM in Sight
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UBS raised its price target to €86.10 on May 10, up from €85.40, while maintaining a buy recommendation. The new target offers a theoretical potential of 27.7% relative to the current price. The research firm aligns with the positive opinions that have dominated since the Q1 results were released on April 30. The bank then reported a tangible return on equity of 11.7%, above the annual target of 10%, as detailed in our analysis of the quarterly publication. In terms of valuation, the consensus of 14 analysts tracked by yfinance places the stock at 8.9 times expected earnings for the current year, compared to an average of 11 times for the European financial sector. Earnings per share growth is expected at 17.6% year-over-year. The next key events are the annual general meeting scheduled for May 27, 2026, followed by the second quarter results on July 30.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
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