Société Générale Shares Fall 2.37% Despite 84% Surge Over the Year
Société Générale's stock significantly loses ground at the start of the week, amidst a marked decline in the CAC 40. The price stands at 72.89 euros, down 2.37% from last Friday's close. This correction occurs even as the bank still shows an impressive annual performance, up more than 84% over twelve months.
Société Générale's stock is moving against its recent upward trend this Monday morning. After a weekly gain of 2.09% and a three-month increase of 5.15%, the stock is undergoing a correction during the session. The CAC 40 itself is down 1.13% at 8,330.30 points, while the SBF 120 drops 1.08%. The decline affects the entire banking sector listed in Paris: BNP Paribas is down 1.75%, and AXA loses 1.13%. This weakness contrasts with the good performance of American counterparts at last Friday's close: JPMorgan Chase was up 0.11%, Bank of America 0.75%, and Morgan Stanley 0.80%. On the other hand, the German DAX is up 2.27% during the session, showing divergences within European markets. The first quarter 2026 results, expected on April 30th, will be a major event to assess the bank's operational trajectory. The general assembly is scheduled for May 27.
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From a technical standpoint, Société Générale's stock is priced at 72.89 euros, significantly above its 50-day moving average of 68.99 euros, and even more so from the 200-day average of 61.30 euros. This gap reflects the strength of the upward trend built over the past few months. However, the price is now approaching a caution zone: within the Bollinger Bands, it is positioned at 84% of the amplitude between the lower bound (57.89 euros) and the upper bound (75.73 euros), indicating proximity to a potential overbought zone. The RSI stands at 64, a high level but not yet crossing the critical threshold of 70 usually associated with overheating. Last Friday's close at 74.66 euros was exactly at the identified resistance level, which partly explains the profit-taking observed this morning. The next technical support is at 60.98 euros, a level significantly lower than the current price, allowing a substantial margin for fluctuation if the corrective movement continues.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
