Societe Generale Shares Rise 2.55% Following Iran-USA Tensions Easing
On Wednesday, Societe Generale's stock marked one of the strongest gains in the French banking sector, climbing 2.55% by midday to €65.14. This rebound occurs in a context of a general recovery of the CAC 40, which increased by 1.32% during the session, following the turbulence caused by geopolitical tensions between Washington and Tehran earlier in the week.
Societe Generale's stock is trading at €65.14 this Wednesday midday, up 2.55% from the previous day's close of €63.52. This increase follows the relief observed in European markets after the announcement on March 23 of the postponement of US strikes against Iran and the resumption of what Donald Trump called 'fruitful' diplomatic discussions. The CAC 40, which had dropped over 2% in the morning of that session, then sharply rebounded. This Wednesday, the Paris index continues its recovery to 7,846.43 points during the session. The banking sector as a whole benefits from this renewed appetite: BNP Paribas is up 1.68% and AXA by 1.19%. However, Societe Generale's weekly performance remains slightly negative at -0.7%, while the stock maintains a substantial annual gain of nearly 52%.
Technical Fragility Persists Despite Rebound
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Despite today's rebound, the technical situation of Societe Generale's stock remains fragile. The price is significantly below its 50-day moving average, set at €70.16, indicating a short-term downward trend for several weeks. The gap of more than €5 between the current price and this benchmark illustrates the correction suffered by the stock, which has lost 4.18% over three months. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42, is in an intermediate zone but close to the oversold threshold set at 30, signaling still degraded momentum without indicating a pronounced bearish excess. The most relevant support is positioned at €60.98, close to the lower Bollinger band (€59.46) and the 200-day moving average (€59.75), together forming a significant support zone. On the calendar side, investors are awaiting the publication of the first quarter 2026 results, scheduled for April 30, which will be the next major catalyst for the stock.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
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