Societe Generale Stock: Over 3% Rebound After a Week of Decline
Societe Generale's stock shows a sharp rebound this Monday, February 16, gaining 3.48% to €69.02 after losing nearly 5% over the last seven days. The stock, now trading above its 50-day moving average, has seen a remarkable increase of nearly 87% over the past year.
Societe Generale's stock price repositioned itself this Monday at €69.02, crossing back above its 50-day moving average, which is at €68.85. This technical threshold is closely monitored, as the stock had slipped below it during the past week, marked by a 4.91% decline. Today's session allows the stock price to distance itself from the support level identified at €66.70, exactly matching last Friday’s closing price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of the stock's momentum, is at 42, indicating a still moderate zone that reflects the absence of excessive buying pressure despite today's rebound. The 200-day moving average remains significantly lower, at €56.94, illustrating the magnitude of the bullish movement recorded over the past year. The most significant resistance lies at €76.60, approximately 11% above the current price.
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Over the past twelve months, the stock of the bank headquartered in La Defense has recorded an increase of 86.92%, one of the most significant among the major CAC 40 stocks. Over three months, the increase still reaches 19.04%, indicating a fundamental movement that goes beyond the mere technical correction observed last week. The stock's beta, set at 0.18, shows a currently low sensitivity to variations in the benchmark index, an unusually low level for a banking stock. The one-month volatility stands at 9.49, a contained level considering recent fluctuations. The gap between the 20-day moving average (€71.92) and today's price suggests that the stock is still trading below its short-term trend, following the consolidation phase that began in early February. No events are scheduled in the financial calendar of the group for the upcoming deadlines.
En 2025, nous avons franchi une étape déterminante dans la transformation de notre Groupe, avec des revenus et un résultat net records et une distribution exceptionnelle d’actions.
Revenus 2025 à 27 254 millions d'euros, résultat net part du Groupe 6 002 millions d'euros; ROTE 10,2%; coefficient d’exploitation 63,6%; coût du risque 26 pb; distribution 4 679 millions d’euros; CET1 13,5%; dividende par action 1,61 EUR; programme de rachats d'actions de 1 462 millions d'euros; objectif 2026: croissance des revenus >2%, coût du risque 25-30 pb, coefficient d’exploitation <60%.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Croissance des revenus attendue en 2026 supérieure à 2% par rapport à 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA attendu en 2026 en progression par rapport à 2025, sans chiffre cible communiqué.
Expected net income: Résultat net attendu en 2026 avec une ROtE supérieure à 10%.
Management commentary: La direction confirme ses objectifs pour 2026 et vise une rentabilité accrue et une meilleure maîtrise des coûts.
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