Sopra Steria Shares Drop 2.5% and Fall Below Key Moving Averages
In mid-morning trading, the stock of the French IT services company declines within a retreating SBF 120 index. The stock erases some of its quarterly gains as bearish bets have been receding for a month.
The Stock Falls Below Its Moving Averages and Flirts with a Key Support at €130.10
Sopra Steria drops 2.61% to €137.90, among the steepest declines in the SBF 120 as the broader index falls by 0.46%. The stock moves below its 20-day moving average (MM20) at €147.63 (a -6.59% gap) and also slips under its 200-day moving average (MM200) at €138.63, while the 50-day moving average (MM50) at €138.26 is now in contact with the price. The RSI at 49 remains neutral, indicating that today's movement has not yet shifted into an oversold configuration.
The decline continues from the previous day's drop, which had already taken the stock out of the bullish channel that started in late April. The quarterly performance is still largely positive (+21.82%), but the pullback brings the stock to less than 6% above its support at €130.10, a level to watch if the downward trend continues.
Bearish Bets Recede and Valuation Remains Contained at 7.7 Times Earnings
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According to reviewed statements, three funds hold a cumulative 2.85% of Sopra Steria's capital sold short, down from 3.27% a month ago (-0.42 point). This easing signals a gradual reduction in bearish positions, yet a portion of institutional investors remains positioned against the stock, which could amplify downward movements in case of adverse news. Conversely, a prolonged decline in cumulative short positions could technically support the stock.
Regarding valuation, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts, the stock is trading at approximately 7.7 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 7.1 times those of the following year, with an expected EPS growth of 9.2% from one year to the next. Operationally, the group continues its industrial refocusing with exclusive negotiations initiated at the end of May to acquire Daher's Manufacturing Engineering branch and the Digital Product Simulation firm. The €130.10 support level remains the next technical level to observe.
Relèvement de l'objectif annuel de croissance organique. Cette progression, conjuguée à nos perspectives pour le second semestre, nous permet de relever notre objectif annuel
Risks mentioned
Impact dilutif de 1,8 point lié à l'arrêt du programme SFT, environ 2 points attendus par trimestre
Hausse temporaire du taux de sous-traitance pesant sur la marge en France (9,5 % contre 10,2 %)
Pays-Bas encore en décroissance modérée, Allemagne et Belgique quasi stables
Opportunities identified
Relèvement de l'objectif annuel de croissance organique à +2,0 % / +2,5 %
Croissance forte de l'aéronautique (+12 %) et de la défense-sécurité-espace (+10 %)
Acquisitions de Starion et Nexova créant un acteur européen du spatial et de la cybersécurité
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 5 800 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Flux net de trésorerie disponible d'environ 5 % du chiffre d'affaires
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.