This morning's 5.13% rebound is part of a strong upward trajectory over the week, with the stock having risen by 9.61% over the last seven days. This acceleration contrasts with the weakness of the past three months, marked by a decline of 4.42%, and particularly with the annual collapse of 13.89%, highlighting the extent of the challenges faced by the sector. However, trading remains moderate, with a volume representing just 0.09% of the available capital, indicating some investor caution despite today's rise. For comparison, the CAC 40 has only advanced by 0.13%, underscoring the relative outperformance of the stock against the broad index.
Technical Analysis Shows Fragile Recovery
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Technically, the situation reflects an ongoing but still fragile rebound. The stock is priced at €21.21, still below its 50-day moving average of €22.20, indicating persistent resistance despite today's momentum. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 43 suggests no overbought condition, with the stock remaining in a neutral zone that theoretically allows room for further progress. The MACD shows mixed signals: its line remains negative at -0.70, but the histogram has risen to 0.22, indicating a beginning of rebalancing between buyers and sellers. Monthly volatility of 6.23% remains stable, with no dramatic change in fluctuation amplitude.
Distinctive Features in Stock's Performance
The stock is framed within a range defined by a support at €18.81 at the bottom and a resistance at €25.49 at the top. A distinctive element emerges from the analysis: a negative beta of -0.28 reveals an inverse correlation with the CAC 40, making STMicroelectronics a stock partially decoupled from the broad index. This particularity could explain why it is gaining more ground today despite only moderate progress in the general index. In terms of levels, the stock maintains itself above its lower Bollinger band (€18.68), keeping a technical margin with respect to critical supports.
« Le chiffre d'affaires du quatrième trimestre a dépassé le milieu de notre prévision et la marge brute a été soutenue par un meilleur mix produit. »
STMicroelectronics a publié ses résultats pour le quatrième trimestre et l'année 2025. Le chiffre d'affaires annuel s'établit à 11,8 milliards de dollars avec une marge brute de 33,9% et un résultat opérationnel de 175 millions de dollars. Le bénéfice net attribuable aux actionnaires pour l'année est de 166 millions de dollars, et le flux de trésorerie disponible (non-U.S. GAAP) pour l'année est de 265 millions de dollars. Pour 2026, le point médian du trimestre est un chiffre d'affaires attendu de 3,04 milliards de dollars et une marge brute d'environ 33,7%.
Risks mentioned
changements dans les politiques commerciales mondiales, y compris les tarifs et barrières commerciaux, susceptibles d'affecter la demande
incertitudes macroéconomiques et inflation, influençant la production et la demande finale
écarts entre la demande client et les projections nécessitant des mesures de transformation
capacité à concevoir, fabriquer et vendre des produits innovants dans un environnement technologique rapide
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires du premier trimestre 2026 est attendu autour de 3,04 milliards de dollars, en baisse séquentielle d'environ 8,7% et avec une marge brute d'environ 33,7% (plus ou moins 350 pb pour le chiffre d'affaires et plus ou moins 200 pb pour la marge brute).
Management commentary: La direction souligne que les perspectives dépendent des conditions macroéconomiques, des taux de change et du mix produit.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
