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Teleperformance Shares Fall 2.62% at Close Despite a Rising CAC 40

Teleperformance closed this Tuesday, November 25, at 58.82 euros, down 2.62% from the previous day, moving against a CAC 40 that gained 0.83%. The customer relationship outsourcing specialist's stock continues its year-long decline with a 34.35% drop, while traded volumes remain contained at 0.53% of the capital.


Teleperformance Shares Fall 2.62% at Close Despite a Rising CAC 40

Significant Loss in Market Value Over Four Years

The stock has lost more than 90% of its market value in four years, bringing it to levels not seen since 2015. Over the week, a technical rebound of 2.47% does not conceal a three-month collapse of 18.58%, exacerbated by a downward revision in early November of the group's 2025 targets, now aiming for organic growth between 1% and 2%. The November 25 session occurred without an immediate catalyst, but in a context of persistent investor mistrust towards the company's business model, facing pressures from artificial intelligence on its traditional businesses. Norges Bank now holds more than 5% of the capital, while two short positions represent about 2.40% of the float. The stock is now trading below all significant moving averages. At 58.82 euros, it is 6% below the 50-day moving average of 62.55 euros, and shows a 27% gap from the 200-day moving average of 80.21 euros. This growing gap between the two moving averages confirms a solidly established downward structural trend. The RSI at 48 points remains in the neutral zone, reflecting a precarious balance between sellers and buyers, with no imminent oversold or overbought signals. This technical setup suggests that the stock lacks the strength to reverse the ongoing negative momentum.

Bollinger Bands Shed Light on Current Volatility

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The upper Bollinger Band is at 64.11 euros, and the lower band at 56.19 euros, placing today's price in the lower half of the channel. This position reflects ongoing selling pressure, even though the stock is not yet in an extreme position. The technical support identified at 56.40 euros represents a critical threshold to watch in the coming sessions: a break below this level could trigger a new wave of sell-offs. Conversely, the psychological resistance at 67.64 euros seems out of reach in the short term given the absence of an immediate positive catalyst. The MACD adds an interesting nuance to the analysis. The MACD is negative but sits above its signal line, suggesting an attempt at stabilization. With a MACD line at -1.24 and a signal line at -1.33, the positive histogram at 0.09 indicates a slight improvement in momentum. However, as long as the MACD remains in negative territory, any technical recovery remains fragile and exposed to a sharp reversal in the event of further disappointments. The monthly volatility of 10.46% and a negative beta of -0.04 reflect the stock's atypical behavior, evolving according to its own dynamics, disconnected from the Paris market.

Future Forward Strategic Plan Focuses on Artificial Intelligence

The Future Forward strategic plan unveiled in June 2025 aims to place artificial intelligence at the core of the business model, but the first quarterly results slightly disappointed with a 0.5% decline in revenue in Q3. Specialized services continue to suffer, notably after losing a significant contract in visa application management. In this context, the nearly 18 euro gap between the current price and the 200-day moving average symbolizes the extent of the journey to restore confidence. Investors will closely monitor upcoming management communications to assess whether the strategic transformation is beginning to bear fruit or if the downward pressure extends towards the 56 euro support.



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Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Le troisième trimestre 2025 s’est globalement inscrit dans la continuité du premier semestre et a démontré la résilience de LanguageLine Solutions.
  • Chiffre d'affaires 9M 2025 de 7 623 millions d’euros (+ 1,5 % à données comparables). Core services porteurs (+ 3,2 % à données comparables sur 9M). Impact négatif des changes et non-renouvellement d’un contrat significatif sur les services spécialisés. Déploiement accéléré des solutions IA et création d’un Value Creation Office.
Risks mentioned
  • Volatilité de l'environnement commercial aux États-Unis affectant les services d'interprétariat (LanguageLine Solutions)
  • Non-renouvellement d’un contrat significatif dans la gestion des demandes de visa (TLScontact)
  • Impact négatif significatif des variations de change (appréciation de l’euro)
  • Hyperinflation en Argentine et en Turquie (application IAS 29) affectant la comparabilité
Opportunities identified
  • Déploiement de TP.ai FAB et solutions augmentées par l'IA (plus de 400 nouveaux projets d’IA sur 9M 2025)
  • Montée en puissance des solutions de back-office et services de données liés à l'IA
  • Création du Value Creation Office pour accélérer la transformation et améliorer l'efficacité opérationnelle
  • Croissance attendue en Inde et en Amérique latine pour les solutions BPO et domestiques

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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