TF1 Stock: 30.5% Lost in One Year, Title Rebounds Nearly 2% with RSI at 13
The audiovisual group is recovering after several weeks of continuous decline. The movement occurs in a well-oriented Paris market, while French interest rates remain under pressure.
A Fragile Rebound at the Foot of Support, Far from Moving Averages
TF1 gains 1.89% to €5.95 during the session, after losing more than 6% over the week. The price is approaching its support level at €5.84, with the gap being only 1.8%. The RSI at 13 reflects marked seller exhaustion, in a very pronounced oversold configuration.
The stock remains significantly below its 20-day moving average (gap of -8.11%), a sign that this rebound is occurring far from any reversal zone. The decline has reached 13.21% over one month and 30.55% over one year, while the CAC 40 is up 0.65% this morning.
First Half Results: Linear Advertising in Decline, Digital Growing
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Upon the publication of H1 2026 on July 24, the group highlighted digital revenue up 17.1% to €134 million, with TF1+ advertising up 18.6% to €109 million. Among the risks cited at that time was a still-degraded advertising environment, which weighs on linear advertising, a significant contributor to operating income. The Netflix partnership, whose launch went as planned by the company, should contribute to the second half accounts.
On the market side, tension on French debt surrounds the session: the 10-year OAT is at 4.90% according to the Bank of France's reading of October 2. The next target for the stock remains its support at €5.84.
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Other stocks — Médias / publicité / divertissement
« Confirmation des objectifs 2026, dans un contexte de visibilité toujours limitée » ; « Le T3 2026 marque un quatrième trimestre consécutif de recul plus prononcé qu'anticipé du marché de la publicité linéaire »
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Croissance soutenue à deux chiffres du chiffre d'affaires digital en 2026 ; Viser une politique de dividendes en croissance dans les prochaines années ; le Groupe entend maintenir en 2026 sa marge des activités hors plus-values à un niveau « mid-to-high single-digit », selon l'évolution du marché linéaire.
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