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TF1 Stock: Fragile Technical Rebound After a 12% Drop in One Week

TF1 stock rose 1% this Thursday to 7.07 euros, after approaching its technical support levels. This modest recovery occurs in a context of significant decline, with the broadcasting group losing over 12% in the last seven trading days. The downward trend that has been in place for several months remains predominant across all time horizons.


TF1 Stock: Fragile Technical Rebound After a 12% Drop in One Week

Immediate Proximity to Support Threshold

TF1 stock is trading very close to its support level at 6.91 euros, a level tested in recent sessions. The price is significantly below its 50-day moving average, set at 8.01 euros, and even more so from the 200-day average at 8.35 euros, indicating a firmly entrenched bearish trend in the medium and long term. The RSI, an indicator measuring the speed and magnitude of price movements, is at 22, indicating an oversold condition. This level usually signals excessive selling pressure and may precede a corrective rebound, though it does not guarantee a lasting reversal of the underlying trend. The most significant resistance lies at 8.28 euros, over 17% above the current price, highlighting the extent of the recovery needed for the stock to regain a more balanced configuration.

Three-Month Performance and Market Sensitivity

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Over three months, the Bouygues-controlled group has declined by 11.08%, while its annual performance stands at -12.4%. This continuous erosion ranks the stock among the least well-oriented media values on the Parisian market. A beta of 0.30 indicates that TF1 has limited sensitivity to general market fluctuations, suggesting that the recent decline is more attributable to factors specific to the stock or sector rather than a broad market correction. Monthly volatility, measured at 11.65%, has intensified over the past few weeks, consistent with the acceleration of the decline observed since the beginning of February. The stock started the year around 7.95 euros before entering a series of declines. In this context, the slight rebound recorded this Thursday does not alter the descending trajectory that has dominated for several quarters. No imminent financial publication is scheduled for the group in the coming weeks.



Sector Médias / publicité / divertissement · Media · Divertissement Diffuseurs radio et télévision


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Succès de la stratégie confortant les objectifs 2025 relatifs à la forte croissance de TF1+ et à la politique de dividendes.
  • Instabilité politique et fiscale en France pèse sur le marché publicitaire (linéaire) en octobre; estimations commerciales pour novembre dégradées; visibilité faible jusqu’à fin 2025; TF1+ en forte croissance publicitaire (+40,5 %) et TF1 confirme ses objectifs digitaux et de dividendes.
Risks mentioned
  • Instabilité politique et fiscale en France pesant sur le marché publicitaire
  • Visibilité commerciale faible jusqu'à la fin de l’année 2025
  • Réduction des revenus financiers liée à la baisse des taux de marché
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance forte du chiffre d’affaires publicitaire de TF1+ (+40,5 % à 9M 2025)
  • Accord stratégique avec Netflix élargissant la distribution à partir de l'été 2026
  • Lancement de la monétisation par micro-paiement sur TF1+ (près de 200 000 transactions en septembre 2025)
  • Renforcement international de Studio TF1 et contributions de JPG

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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