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TF1 Stock: Over 5% Drop in a Single Session, Breaking Below Support Level

TF1's stock experienced a sharp decline on Monday, February 16, falling by 5.26% to close at 6.94 euros. This steep drop extends a previously marked bearish trend, with the stock losing over 14% in the past seven days. The negative momentum is part of a pronounced technical deterioration for the media group.


TF1 Stock: Over 5% Drop in a Single Session, Breaking Below Support Level

Significant Break Below Support Level

The highlight of the session was the breaking of the support threshold at 7.33 euros, which was Friday's closing price. By closing at 6.94 euros, TF1's stock is now significantly below this technical level, indicating an acceleration of selling pressure, especially since the publication of the group's annual results. The stock is also well below its 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, positioned at 8.00, 8.08, and 8.37 euros respectively, confirming a firmly entrenched downward trend across multiple time horizons. The RSI, an indicator measuring the speed and magnitude of price movements, stands at 32, approaching the so-called oversold zone (below 30). This level suggests that selling pressure has been particularly intense in recent weeks, yet it does not alone signal an imminent turnaround. Moreover, the price has also broken below the lower Bollinger band (7.59 euros), indicating increased volatility and a significant deviation from its recent trajectory.

Beyond Today's Session: A Sustained Downward Trend

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Beyond today's session, TF1's trajectory is part of a sustained downward movement. Over three months, the decline reaches 13.47%, while the performance over one year shows a decrease of 16.69%. These figures illustrate a gradual deterioration in the valuation of the media group listed on Euronext Paris. The stock's beta, measured at -0.11, indicates an almost total decorrelation with benchmark indices, meaning that the stock's decline is more due to factors specific to the company rather than general market trends. The monthly volatility, established at 10.02%, remains contained despite the magnitude of the bearish movement, which can be explained by the regularity of the erosion observed in recent weeks. Currently, no event in the group's financial calendar appears to be a short-term catalyst that could alter the current dynamics of the stock.



Sector Médias / publicité / divertissement · Media · Divertissement Diffuseurs radio et télévision


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Succès de la stratégie confortant les objectifs 2025 relatifs à la forte croissance de TF1+ et à la politique de dividendes.
  • Instabilité politique et fiscale en France pèse sur le marché publicitaire (linéaire) en octobre; estimations commerciales pour novembre dégradées; visibilité faible jusqu’à fin 2025; TF1+ en forte croissance publicitaire (+40,5 %) et TF1 confirme ses objectifs digitaux et de dividendes.
Risks mentioned
  • Instabilité politique et fiscale en France pesant sur le marché publicitaire
  • Visibilité commerciale faible jusqu'à la fin de l’année 2025
  • Réduction des revenus financiers liée à la baisse des taux de marché
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance forte du chiffre d’affaires publicitaire de TF1+ (+40,5 % à 9M 2025)
  • Accord stratégique avec Netflix élargissant la distribution à partir de l'été 2026
  • Lancement de la monétisation par micro-paiement sur TF1+ (près de 200 000 transactions en septembre 2025)
  • Renforcement international de Studio TF1 et contributions de JPG

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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