TF1 Stock: Technical Rebound After a Series of Sharp Declines
TF1 stock increased by 1.88% this Tuesday, reaching 7.04 euros, after hitting its support level at 6.91 euros the previous day. This temporary rise comes amidst a significant downturn, with the stock having lost more than 13% over the past seven days and nearly 15.5% over the year.
This Tuesday's rebound in TF1 stock occurs while the stock is trading well below all its moving averages. The price, at 7.04 euros, is more than 12% below the 50-day moving average of 8.05 euros and nearly 16% below the 200-day average of 8.36 euros, indicating a bearish momentum established over several weeks. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 25, which is typically considered an oversold zone. This indicator, which measures the speed and magnitude of price changes, signals that selling pressure has been particularly intense recently. The contact with the technical support at 6.91 euros, reached during the previous session, coincided with this rebound, while the nearest resistance is positioned at 8.28 euros, representing a gap of more than 17% from the current price.
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Over the past three months, the stock of the broadcasting group has lost more than 12%, in a steady decline that has brought the market capitalization to levels not seen for several quarters. The annual performance, down by 15.49%, confirms the extent of this erosion. A beta of 0.36 indicates that TF1 has a reduced sensitivity to general market movements, suggesting that the recent decline is more likely due to factors specific to the stock or its sector rather than a broader market trend. The monthly volatility, measured at 11.39%, remains contained but occurs in a context where daily variations have intensified in recent weeks, as evidenced by the nearly 2% range recorded this Tuesday. No major financial events are scheduled for the group in the short term.
Related
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Other stocks — Médias / publicité / divertissement
SectorMédias / publicité / divertissement · Media · Divertissement›Diffuseurs radio et télévision
Context
Period
Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
Succès de la stratégie confortant les objectifs 2025 relatifs à la forte croissance de TF1+ et à la politique de dividendes.
Instabilité politique et fiscale en France pèse sur le marché publicitaire (linéaire) en octobre; estimations commerciales pour novembre dégradées; visibilité faible jusqu’à fin 2025; TF1+ en forte croissance publicitaire (+40,5 %) et TF1 confirme ses objectifs digitaux et de dividendes.
Risks mentioned
Instabilité politique et fiscale en France pesant sur le marché publicitaire
Visibilité commerciale faible jusqu'à la fin de l’année 2025
Réduction des revenus financiers liée à la baisse des taux de marché
Opportunities identified
Croissance forte du chiffre d’affaires publicitaire de TF1+ (+40,5 % à 9M 2025)
Accord stratégique avec Netflix élargissant la distribution à partir de l'été 2026
Lancement de la monétisation par micro-paiement sur TF1+ (près de 200 000 transactions en septembre 2025)
Renforcement international de Studio TF1 et contributions de JPG
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