Thales Shares Test Technical Support at €237.90 After 11% Decline Over a Week
Thales shares fell nearly 2% this Friday morning, reaching their technical support threshold at €237.90. The drop is part of a challenging week for the defense and electronics group, which saw its share price fall by more than 11% in seven sessions. The CAC 40, down by 1.05% during the session, also influences the stock's dynamics.
Thales's decline occurs despite significant industrial news. On April 20, Thales Alenia Space, Airbus, and RADMOR formalized a cooperation agreement for the development of a geostationary military telecommunications satellite for Poland. The ceremony was held in Gdansk, attended by the Polish Minister of Defense and the French Minister of the Armed Forces, highlighting the political dimension of the partnership. Despite this contract, the stock did not find upward momentum. Two days later, BNP Paribas lowered its price target from €260 to €255, while maintaining a neutral recommendation. At the current price of €237.90, this revised target represents a gap of about 7% from the target price, without constituting a clear buy signal. It is worth noting that the group's general assembly is scheduled for May 12, an event that could provide new insights into the group's outlook.
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From a technical standpoint, Thales's stock price is currently at its identified support level of €237.90, a key level whose breach could pave the way for an extension of the downward movement. The stock is at the lower end of the Bollinger Bands, only 7% above the lower bound set at €234.67, signaling a potential oversold zone. The RSI, a momentum indicator that measures the relative strength of the movement, stands at 40, a level that confirms selling pressure without yet falling below the critical threshold of 30. Moreover, the price has significantly distanced itself from its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, located at €253.07 and €245.78 respectively, illustrating the magnitude of the recent correction. Over three months, the stock's performance is -7.97%, and over one year, the decline is -5.14%. Elsewhere on the Paris stock exchange, Airbus is down 2.78% and Schneider Electric by 1.47% in session, in a broadly declining European market.
Net income: 2 005 millions d'euros (Résultat Net Ajusté, part du Groupe)
Free cash flow: 2 577 millions d'euros
-1 618 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,90 €
Payout ratio: 40 %
Guidance from the release
2025 a été une très bonne année avec des commandes records et une croissance du chiffre d’affaires, démontrant l’excellence opérationnelle du Groupe.
Communiqué indiquant des commandes records, un chiffre d’affaires en hausse et une rentabilité améliorée en 2025, avec des perspectives 2026 positives et un dividende soutenu.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d'euros en 2026
Expected EBITDA: Non précisé publiquement
Expected net income: Non précisé publiquement
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Thales vise un book-to-bill supérieur à 1 et une croissance organique du chiffre d’affaires entre 6 % et 7 %, correspondant à un chiffre d’affaires entre 23,3 et 23,6 milliards d’euros, et une marge d’EBIT Ajusté entre 12,6 % et 12,8 %; le taux de conversion en cash devrait se situer entre 95 % et 100 %.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.