Valeo Shares Dip Below Technical Threshold, Losing 2.5% in Session
The automotive supplier significantly retreats in the Paris session, moving against an SBF 120 that is slightly up. The stock erases part of its rebound from last week and falls below a closely watched technical threshold, while short positions remain high in its capital.
A Decline of 2.46% Brings the Stock Below Its 20-Day Moving Average
Valeo shares drop 2.46% to €13.11, while the SBF 120 gains 0.22% in the session. The stock is at the lower end of the broader index, while the top is dominated by spirits and retail stocks. Today's movement erases part of the rebound from July 3, when the stock had surged by 6.5%. Over a month, the stock is down 13.3%, but it still holds a gain of 26% over three months and 41% over a year. The 20-day moving average, at €14.29, is now 8.3% above the current price, while the 50-day (€12.66) and 200-day (€11.72) moving averages remain supportive below the stock. The RSI at 50 remains neutral, providing no directional signal. The support at €12.24 frames the bottom of the recent channel, consistent with the ongoing decline.
Persistent Short Interest Despite Easing in Recent Weeks
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According to reviewed statements, six funds hold a combined 9.28% of the capital in short positions, a level that remains high. However, the pressure has eased over thirty days, with a decrease of 1.63 points (from 10.91% a month ago). This accumulation reflects a persistent bearish exposure by institutional investors, although the recent decrease is not enough to suggest a reversal of sentiment. The valuation stands at approximately 8.1 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 6 times those for the next year, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts. On the operational front, the group has recently announced several industrial developments: a contract for next-generation radars with a North American manufacturer at the end of June, an agreement with Nissan on bidirectional charging in Europe, and the completion of a €45 million modernization plan at its Angers site announced on July 3. The €12.24 level remains the next technical level to watch for the continuation of the current decline.
SectorAutomobile et mobilité›Équipementiers automobiles
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Context
Period
Period: T3 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 4 881 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 4 881 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -2,3 %
Guidance from the release
Valeo confirme sa guidance 2026
Risks mentioned
Environnement de marché exigeant avec défis intensifiés
Marché automobile global en baisse de 1,6% en T3 2026
Chiffre d'affaires première monte en retrait de 3,8%
Opportunities identified
Reprise de croissance de BRAIN en hausse de 8,2% en 2026
Retour à la croissance du Groupe attendu en 2027
Surperformance continue de l'Amérique du Nord et l'Asie hors Chine
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 20 500 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Le Groupe confirme sa guidance 2026 (rappelée dans le tableau ci-dessous) et vise pour le second semestre une marge opérationnelle en % du chiffre d'affaires et un cash flow libre équivalents à ceux du premier semestre. Chiffre d'affaires en milliards d'euros 20,9 20 - 21
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.