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Valeo Shares Drop 5% and Approach Key Support at €12.24

The automotive equipment manufacturer is sinking in the Paris session, in a market weighed down by rising geopolitical tensions and increased volatility. The stock is among the biggest losers in the SBF 120 and is losing ground on several technical levels monitored since the beginning of the month.


Valeo Shares Drop 5% and Approach Key Support at €12.24

A Significant Drop Bringing the Price to the Brink of the €12.24 Support

Valeo shares fell by 4.81% to €12.275, down from €12.895 the previous day, ranking among the largest declines in the SBF 120, which fell by 2.23%. The decline is part of a deteriorating market environment, with a VIX increase of 20.1% to 18.7 and a CAC 40 loss of 2.26%, as rising tensions in the Middle East (strikes claimed between Washington and Tehran, ceasefire declared over by Donald Trump from Ankara) fuel risk aversion. The stock has significantly dropped below its 20-day moving average at €14.29 (a -14.1% gap) and its 50-day moving average at €12.66, while remaining above its 200-day moving average at €11.72. The price has hit its support at €12.24, tested during the session, erasing much of the quarterly rally still visible in the 3-month performance at nearly 20%. Over one month, the decline now reaches 18.82%, while the RSI at 50 remains neutral and does not indicate an immediate technical rebound.

A Still High Bearish Bet on the Capital Despite a Slight Decrease Over Thirty Days

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According to collected statements, six funds hold a cumulative 9.28% of the capital of the equipment manufacturer sold short, a level that remains significantly above the usual thresholds on the Paris stock exchange. The combined position has decreased by 1.28 points over thirty days (it was 10.56% a month ago), yet it has not disappeared: the distrust of these participants remains marked, even though some have begun to unwind. This level reflects the presence of institutional managers positioned against the stock or seeking to cover exposure, and it highlights the volatility observed in recent sessions, with sharp rebounds (like the +6.5% on July 3rd) and sudden drops. Regarding valuation, the stock is trading at approximately 7.6 times the earnings expected for the current fiscal year and 5.6 times those of the next fiscal year according to the consensus of surveyed analysts. The behavior of the price around the support at €12.24 will be the next concrete technical reference to gauge the depth of the ongoing correction.



Sector Industrie · Automobile Pièces Automobiles


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Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 20 903 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: -3,0 %
  • EBITDA: 3 082 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 14,7 %
  • Net income: 200 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 756 millions d'euros
  • 4 022 millions d'euros
  • Dividend per share: 0,44 €
Guidance from the release
  • Nous avons poursuivi l'amélioration de notre rentabilité et nous avons concrétisé le tournant attendu en matière de génération de cash, atteignant un niveau record de cash issu des opérations.
  • Le communiqué souligne une bonne dynamique commerciale et une amélioration continue de la rentabilité et de la génération de cash, avec des prises de commandes en hausse et des objectifs financiers pour 2026.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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