Valeo shares drop 20% over one month but recover 2.5% today
The automotive equipment supplier rebounds mid-morning, in a well-oriented Paris market. This uptick comes after a sharp decline following its quarterly sales release, and the stock remains far from its moving averages.
A rebound that fills only a small part of the decline since the third quarter
The Valeo share gains 2.5% to €11.69, in the wake of an SBF 120 that advances 1.11%.
The security is nonetheless still down 13.05% over one week and 20.07% over one month. This rebound barely eases this decline, especially as the price remains below its three moving averages: the MA20 is at €13.22 (gap of 11.57%), the MA200 at €12.88.
The group had maintained its 2026 targets on October 22, with original equipment sales down 3.8% in the third quarter. Original equipment sales had declined 3.8%, in a global automotive market down 1.6%.
In this context, the support level at €11.32 is less than 4% from the current price, and the RSI at 33 is close to the oversold zone.
A stock valued at 7.6 times expected earnings, with 10.92% of capital sold short
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According to the consensus of analysts surveyed, Valeo is trading at approximately 7.6 times current year earnings and 5.9 times next year's earnings.
On positioning, eight funds cumulate according to reported disclosures 10.92% of capital in net short position, a high level. This figure has nonetheless declined by 0.33 points over 30 days, a sign of selling pressure easing slightly without disappearing.
The group also confirmed, during its T3 2026 publication (October 22, 2026), an expected return to growth in 2027, with a 2026 revenue range of 20 to 21 billion euros. The €45M share buyback program announced in April was executed at approximately 81% as of May 20.
SectorAutomobile et mobilité›Équipementiers automobiles
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Context
Period
Period: T3 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 4 881 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 4 881 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -2,3 %
Guidance from the release
Valeo confirme sa guidance 2026
Risks mentioned
Environnement de marché exigeant avec défis intensifiés
Marché automobile global en baisse de 1,6% en T3 2026
Chiffre d'affaires première monte en retrait de 3,8%
Opportunities identified
Reprise de croissance de BRAIN en hausse de 8,2% en 2026
Retour à la croissance du Groupe attendu en 2027
Surperformance continue de l'Amérique du Nord et l'Asie hors Chine
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 20 500 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Le Groupe confirme sa guidance 2026 (rappelée dans le tableau ci-dessous) et vise pour le second semestre une marge opérationnelle en % du chiffre d'affaires et un cash flow libre équivalents à ceux du premier semestre. Chiffre d'affaires en milliards d'euros 20,9 20 - 21
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.