The biotechnology company closed down 5.95% at €4.524, extending its decline that began in early October following the announcement of a downward revision of its annual forecasts and a debt refinancing.
The stock ended the session down 5.95% at €4.524, compared to €4.81 the previous day. This downward movement is part of a challenging sequence after reaching a peak of €5.42 in early October, with the value losing 9.45% over the last seven days. Trading volumes remained moderate, accounting for 0.59% of the capital, in a generally downward Parisian market, with the CAC 40 dropping 1.53%. Despite this recent correction, the stock maintains an annual performance of 74.67%, significantly outperforming the reference index, which has advanced 4.73% over the same period.
Financial Forecast and Funding
Free · Every morning
Technical market signals, before the opening bell.
Bullish and bearish momentum, analyst changes, stocks to watch — automatically computed from Euronext data.
✓ Before 9 AM every morning✓ Euronext data✓ AI-powered analysis
Almost there! Check your inbox.
A confirmation email has been sent. Click the link to confirm your subscription.
An error occurred.
Indicative data. No investment advice. Unsubscribe at any time.
This downward trend follows the announcement on October 6 of a downward revision of the 2025 financial forecasts by the vaccine specialist company. Valneva now expects annual revenues of between €165 and €180 million, down from the previous target of between €180 and €190 million. This revision comes in the context of the suspension at the end of August of the commercialization license for its chikungunya vaccine Ixchiq in the United States by the American health agency. Concurrently, the laboratory announced it had secured new financing of up to $500 million from Pharmakon Advisors, allowing it to postpone the repayment deadline to the fourth quarter of 2030 and improve its financial conditions.
Technical Perspective
Technically, the stock is trading above its 50-day moving average, established at €4.19, a position that reflects a structural rebound despite the week's fluctuations. This setup suggests that investor interest has been maintained beyond the levels observed during the summer. The relative strength index, at 62, is in a neutral-positive zone, indicating still favorable momentum without signaling overheating. Volatility remains high, measured at 18.27% over a month, reflecting the amplitude of recent movements in a context of multiple announcements.
Au troisième trimestre, nous avons continué à nous concentrer sur le renforcement de notre trésorerie, ce qui nous a permis de refinancer notre dette à des conditions financières plus avantageuses.
Chiffre d’affaires de 127,0 millions d’euros sur neuf mois (+8,9 %), ventes de 119,4 millions d’euros, trésorerie de 143,5 millions d’euros au 30/09/2025, perte nette 65,2 millions d’euros, EBITDA ajusté (37,7) millions d’euros. Guidance 2025 confirmée : chiffre d’affaires attendu entre 165 et 180 millions d’euros; ventes attendues entre 155 et 170 millions d'euros. Renforcement de la position financière via refinancement et ATMs; Phase 3 VALOR pour le vaccin Lyme en cours selon calendrier.
Risks mentioned
Suspension de la licence IXCHIQ ® aux États-Unis par la FDA (impact sur ventes segment voyageurs)
Risque de résultats cliniques défavorables pour les candidats (phase 3 VALOR pour Lyme, essais S4V2, VLA1601 incertitudes réglementaires)
Exposition aux fluctuations de change (impact négatif mentionné de 1,3 millions d’euros sur ventes, effets de change volontaires)
Dépendance à des partenaires de distribution et diminution des produits de tiers (arrêt de distribution de Rabipur/RabAvert et Encepur)
Opportunities identified
Résultats positifs potentiels de la Phase 3 VALOR (VLA15) pouvant mener à des demandes d'autorisation en 2026
Accord commercial avec CSL Seqirus en Allemagne pour stimuler la commercialisation des vaccins
Croissance des ventes d'IXCHIQ ® sur les marchés hors États-Unis et dans les PRFI (livraisons de substance active)
Potentiel du candidat S4V2 contre la shigellose (marché estimé > 500 millions de dollars/an)
Données positives de Phase 1 pour VLA1601 (Zika) et forte persistance d'anticorps pour IXCHIQ ® (95 % à 4 ans) comme avantage concurrentiel
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.