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Valneva Stock Continues its Rebound, Closing at 4.39 Euros


Valneva Stock Continues its Rebound, Closing at 4.39 Euros

Valneva's stock gained 2.81% this Friday, January 16, closing at 4.39 euros after opening at 4.27 euros. The French vaccine specialist thus confirms a positive momentum with a weekly advance of 5.13% and a spectacular yearly rise of 108.4%. This performance is part of a favorable technical environment, with the stock price now moving above its key moving averages. The Relative Strength Index has reached 74, indicating a potential overbought zone that reflects the recent strength of the bullish movement. Meanwhile, the stock price is approaching a major resistance at 4.43 euros, a symbolic threshold whose crossing could pave the way for a new impulse. With a trading volume representing 0.42% of the capital, the stock shows moderate activity that underscores a gradual progression rather than speculative frenzy.

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The recent evolution of the stock occurs in a context marked by several strategic developments. In early January, Valneva terminated its licensing agreement with the Serum Institute of India and regained full commercialization rights for IXCHIQ, its chikungunya vaccine, for endemic countries. This decision aims to optimize supply chain control and accelerate access in areas most affected by the disease. In December, the laboratory also announced positive results for its Phase 2 study on the pediatric population. Regarding recommendations, Stifel reiterated its buy rating on January 6 with a raised target price of 10 euros, representing a potential upside of 128% from the current price, reflecting market hopes for the company's pipeline, including the Lyme disease vaccine candidate developed with Pfizer.



Sector Santé · Pharmacie Industrie Pharmaceutique


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Au troisième trimestre, nous avons continué à nous concentrer sur le renforcement de notre trésorerie, ce qui nous a permis de refinancer notre dette à des conditions financières plus avantageuses.
  • Chiffre d’affaires de 127,0 millions d’euros sur neuf mois (+8,9 %), ventes de 119,4 millions d’euros, trésorerie de 143,5 millions d’euros au 30/09/2025, perte nette 65,2 millions d’euros, EBITDA ajusté (37,7) millions d’euros. Guidance 2025 confirmée : chiffre d’affaires attendu entre 165 et 180 millions d’euros; ventes attendues entre 155 et 170 millions d'euros. Renforcement de la position financière via refinancement et ATMs; Phase 3 VALOR pour le vaccin Lyme en cours selon calendrier.
Risks mentioned
  • Suspension de la licence IXCHIQ ® aux États-Unis par la FDA (impact sur ventes segment voyageurs)
  • Risque de résultats cliniques défavorables pour les candidats (phase 3 VALOR pour Lyme, essais S4V2, VLA1601 incertitudes réglementaires)
  • Exposition aux fluctuations de change (impact négatif mentionné de 1,3 millions d’euros sur ventes, effets de change volontaires)
  • Dépendance à des partenaires de distribution et diminution des produits de tiers (arrêt de distribution de Rabipur/RabAvert et Encepur)
Opportunities identified
  • Résultats positifs potentiels de la Phase 3 VALOR (VLA15) pouvant mener à des demandes d'autorisation en 2026
  • Accord commercial avec CSL Seqirus en Allemagne pour stimuler la commercialisation des vaccins
  • Croissance des ventes d'IXCHIQ ® sur les marchés hors États-Unis et dans les PRFI (livraisons de substance active)
  • Potentiel du candidat S4V2 contre la shigellose (marché estimé > 500 millions de dollars/an)
  • Données positives de Phase 1 pour VLA1601 (Zika) et forte persistance d'anticorps pour IXCHIQ ® (95 % à 4 ans) comme avantage concurrentiel

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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