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ArcelorMittal share breaks through its 61.16 € support and continues to slide

The steelmaker is posting a moderate decline this afternoon in a nearly stable CAC 40, while benefiting from a positive signal from analysts. Selling pressure is being exerted below the support broken yesterday, in a context of a poorly oriented European market.


ArcelorMittal share breaks through its 61.16 € support and continues to slide

The share price breaks through its support and trades below its MA20 and MA50

ArcelorMittal is down 1.27% at 60.52 € in mid-afternoon, breaking through the support at 61.16 € again (lowest intraday level: 60.38 €). This level had already given way on Monday, as documented by yesterday's trading which saw the stock post the largest decline in the CAC 40. The share price is now trading below its MA50 (62.75 €, a deviation of -3.55%) and below its MA20 (64.19 €, a deviation of -5.72%), two averages that form a ceiling for any recovery.

The MA200 at 53.36 € remains, however, clearly below the current price, representing a deviation of +13.42% that reflects the underlying upward momentum accumulated over the past year. The RSI at 42 reflects a neutral configuration, with no extreme oversold signal. The next resistance level is at 67.54 €, approximately 12% above the current price.

Morgan Stanley raises its target to 71 €, potential upside of nearly 17%

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In this context of decline, analyst opinion provides a more constructive note: Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Tuesday from 70 to 71 €, while maintaining its "overweight" rating. Compared to the latest price of 60.52 €, this new target represents a theoretical upside potential of nearly 17%. This revision comes as the stock is down 3.72% over the week and 6.32% over the month, thus returning to levels far removed from the five-year high of 68.42 € set in early September.

Over twelve months, performance remains exceptional at +92.55%. When publishing first-half 2026 results (July 30, 2026), management had struck a confident tone, mentioning a positive outlook for the short, medium and long term, with enhanced shareholder returns. The 614 M€ share buyback program announced in May had furthermore been executed at approximately 100% as of June 30, 2026, for a total amount of 984 M€ repurchased over twelve months.



Sector Métaux et mines › Acier / sidérurgie


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Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 48 684 millions de dollars
  • Quarterly revenue: 48 684 millions de dollars
  • Revenue growth: 5 %
  • EBITDA: 5 766 millions de dollars
  • EBITDA margin: 11,8 %
  • Net income: 867 millions de dollars
  • Free cash flow: -1 935 millions de dollars
  • 10 339 millions de dollars
Guidance from the release
  • « Looking ahead, we remain very positive. » ; « Outlook across the near, medium and long term remains positive »
Risks mentioned
  • Ukraine operations idled following multiple missile strikes with safety and logistical challenges; future cash spend expected to be limited
  • Temporary $2.5bn working capital investment during 9M 2026 creating near-term cash drag, though expected to unwind in 4Q
  • Weather disruption in Liberian mining and lagged benefit of higher steel prices yet to be reflected in Europe segment results
Opportunities identified
  • Enhanced EU trade measures beginning to rebalance European steel market fundamentals with all European blast furnaces back in operation
  • Strategic growth projects (3.9Mt EAF capacity by 2029 in Europe, Liberia ramp-up) supporting medium to long-term earnings growth
  • Group shipments in 2H 2026 expected to exceed 1H 2026; flat shipment growth expected to accelerate in 4Q with double-digit year-on-year increase
Outlook / guidance
  • Management commentary: The 9M 2026 investment in working capital of $2.5bn is expected to largely unwind in 4Q 2026, supporting a healthy cash generation and continued returns to shareholders and lower net debt.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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