Carmila's Stock Breaks Resistance and Settles Above 17.60 Euros
Carmila shows a 2.05% increase this Monday morning, bringing the stock price to 17.94 euros. The real estate company, specializing in shopping centers adjacent to Carrefour hypermarkets, thus surpasses a closely monitored technical threshold. Over the week, the gain reaches 5.78%, extending an upward trend that began in recent months.
Carmila's stock price is now above the resistance level identified at 17.60 euros, a level that the stock had not managed to consistently exceed in recent weeks. This breakthrough occurs while the stock is significantly above its 20, 50, and 200-day moving averages, respectively positioned at 16.80, 16.70, and 17.06 euros, indicating a well-established upward trend across all time horizons. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reaches 87, a level signaling an advanced overbought zone. This indicator, which fluctuates between 0 and 100, is generally considered stretched when it exceeds 70: beyond this, it may indicate that the upward movement has accelerated significantly and that a slowdown or consolidation phase is not to be excluded. The stock has gained 9.39% over three months, a significant performance for a listed real estate company in the commercial sector.
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The next milestone for Carmila will be the publication of its first quarter 2026 revenue, expected on April 23. This announcement will allow for an assessment of the real estate company's leasing dynamics in the first months of the year, in an environment where neighborhood shopping centers remain a segment closely watched by real estate investors. The general assembly is scheduled for May 12, 2026, followed by the semi-annual results on July 28. These deadlines will provide increased visibility into the distribution policy and the company's ability to maintain its management indicators, particularly the occupancy rate and rental growth. Over one year, the stock performance remains modest at 1.7%, which puts the recent rise into a more nuanced perspective. The stock operates with a beta of -0.08, indicating an almost null correlation with major indices, a common characteristic of defensive real estate companies.
Carmila is confidently reiterating its objectives for 2026
Risks mentioned
No new supply and increasing scarcity of profitable spaces may limit future expansion opportunities
Interest rate sensitivity despite current full hedging in 2026-2027, potentially impacting cost of capital for future acquisitions
Retail market concentration in Western Europe and exposure to economic downturn affecting footfall and retailer demand
Opportunities identified
Accretive acquisition of Grand Quetigny (Dijon) generating rental uplift and innovation-based revenues leveraging Carmila's asset management expertise
Rising retailer demand and occupancy expansion (96.0%, +70 bps) supporting sustainable rental revenue growth across three countries
Innovation-driven revenues (Specialty leasing, Retail media, Next Tower, Marketing services) from 620 million annual visits
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Carmila is confidently reiterating its objectives for 2026 and expects to generate recurring earnings per share of €1.87.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.