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Last updated : 11/11/2026 - 13h19
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CSG shares hit a record low of €10.35 and fall 19%

The defense group is lowering its annual profitability outlook, and the market reacted immediately. The stock has set a new all-time low following nine-month results published this morning.


CSG shares hit a record low of €10.35 and fall 19%

2026 margin cut to around 21% after a sharp decline in the third quarter

CSG is lowering its 2026 adjusted operating EBIT margin target to around 21%, down from the 24–25% previously targeted. The stock fell 19.05% to €10.88 intraday and touched €10.35, a historic low that erases the previous record of €12.20 set on June 26.

The third quarter shows the turning point: sales fell 11.7% to €1,510 million, and adjusted operating EBIT dropped 20.9% to €317 million.

Over nine months, the adjusted operating EBIT margin declined 1.4 points to 23.1%, while revenue rose 6.1% to €4,761 million.

The group is maintaining its annual revenue target of between €7.4 billion and €7.6 billion, which includes approximately €300 million of revenue shifted from the third to the fourth quarter. In the same publication, the working capital requirement target has moved from under 20% to under 35%.

Shares below all moving averages, RSI at 26

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The session extends a steep decline: the stock has lost nearly 23% over the week and 38% over three months.

The price is 22.5% below its 20-day moving average (MM20) and 42.7% below its 200-day moving average (MM200), after breaking through the €12.35 support, which has now become resistance. The RSI at 26 signals an oversold configuration, with no predictive value.

Among the risks cited when the nine-month 2026 results were published on November 11, the group points to the accelerated sale of standard ammunition at lower prices and longer lead times for long-range ammunition, which shift revenue into 2027. It also highlights the vertical integration of its long-range ammunition production, targeted at 100% in-house by the end of 2027.

According to the consensus of recorded analysts, the stock trades at approximately 9.9 times current-year earnings, before the third-quarter revenue publication, which was already released this morning.

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Sector Aéronautique et Défense › Défense


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Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 4 761 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 4 761 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 6,1 %
  • EBITDA: 1 221 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 25,6 %
  • Net income: 721 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: -777 millions d'euros
  • 4 320 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • revised guidance to 21% margin from 24-25% and net working capital below 35% from below 20%
Risks mentioned
  • Accelerated sale of standard-range ammunition at lower market prices impacting margins
  • Longer lead times on extended-range ammunition and Land Systems causing revenue timing shifts into 2027
  • Working capital pressure from pre-stocking of critical components, with 42% of LTM revenue vs previously guided below 20%
Opportunities identified
  • Vertical integration in extended-range ammunition production targeting 100% in-house production by end of 2027
  • Land Systems business growth with 57% of backlog and production capacity on track for 1.1 million rounds by end of 2027
  • Geographic diversification with emerging presence in US (19% of revenue) and Southeast Asia through major contracts
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 7 500 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: CSG reaffirms its full year Revenue guidance of between €7.4 to €7.6bn

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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