Dassault Aviation Stock Stalls at Its 312.40 € Resistance Level
The maker of the Rafale fighter jet retreats in mid-afternoon, in a Paris market that is rising. The stock ranks among the largest decliners of the SBF 120, while its two defense sector peers also fall.
A Decline That Brings the Stock Back Toward Its Resistance From the Previous Day
Dassault Aviation stock loses 1.47% to 307.80 €, while the SBF 120 gains 0.28%. The stock ranks among the index's largest decliners. The previous session had lifted it to 312.40 €, a level that corresponds to its resistance, and today's decline leaves it 1.5% below that threshold.
The share price nevertheless remains above its three moving averages, including the 200-day moving average (MM200) at 305.16 €, a gap of 0.87%. Over one month, the gain stands at 9.23%, and today's decline does not erase this progress.
Thales (-1.16%) and Safran (-1.06%) also fall, after declines of 14.12% and 14.41% over three months. The RSI at 59 remains neutral.
The Rafale, India and the Decline in the Order Book in the First Half
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When the first-half 2026 results were published on 22 July 2026, the group maintained its guidance for the year, with revenue up.
The order book fell to 45.4 billion €, compared with 46.6 billion €, despite the delivery of 23 Falcon aircraft. As for the Rafale, 12 aircraft were delivered in the first half, including 10 for export, compared with 7 a year earlier.
The group also decided to enter into direct negotiations with India for a contract covering 114 Rafale jets. Order intake in the Defense segment fell to 1,024 million €, compared with 7,172 million €, in the absence of a new major Rafale order. The stock is trading 11.85% higher than a year ago.
SectorAéronautique et Défense›Aéronautique et spatial
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 45,7 %
Net income: 361,6 millions d'euros
-10 099 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
La guidance 2026 est inchangée : chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse
Risks mentioned
Carnet de commandes en léger repli (45,4 Md€ vs 46,6 Md€) malgré la livraison de 23 Falcon au S1 2026
Arrêt du programme SCAF/NGF en coopération franco-allemande, avec alternative à définir
Réduction des prises de commandes Défense (1 024 M€ vs 7 172 M€) liée à l'absence de nouvelle grande commande Rafale
Opportunities identified
Accélération de la livraison de Rafale Export : 12 Rafale livrées au S1 2026 (10 Export + 2 France) vs 7 au S1 2025
Négociation pour contrat de 114 Rafale avec l'Inde (Decision d'entrer en négociation gré à gré)
Programme Falcon 10X en phase d'essais en vol depuis juin 2026, entrée en service prévue 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8 500 millions d'euros
Management commentary: chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse par rapport à celui de 2025, classe 8,5 milliards d'euros (dont la livraison de 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale)
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
