Edenred Shares Climb 4% to €22.63, Breaking Past €21.76 Resistance
Edenred shares surged 4% to €22.63 in mid-morning trading, among the top gainers in the SBF 120 index. The stock has overcome its €21.76 resistance level, bringing its three-month gain to 27.4%. This rebound contrasts with a still negative annual performance of 17%.
Edenred Breaks Through €21.76 Resistance and Exceeds Upper Bollinger Band
The stock price is now trading above the upper Bollinger band set at €21.98, which is 141% of the band, indicating a strong overbought condition. The RSI at 66 remains below the 70 threshold, suggesting that the bullish momentum has not yet exhausted the short-term indicators. The stock is distancing itself from its moving averages: it is 6.80% above the MM20 (€21.19) and 16.83% above the MM50 (€19.37). The MM200 at €20.36, already surpassed in April, is now exceeded by 11.15%. The breakthrough of the €21.76 resistance extends the rebound that started in February and was confirmed by the crossing of the MM200 at the end of April, following the publication of the first quarter revenue.
Selling Pressure Decreases and Valuation Below Industrial Sector Average
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According to reviewed statements, the cumulative net short positions on the stock amount to 9.59% of the capital, declared by ten funds, including Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (1.81%), Two Sigma Investments (1.39%), and Marshall Wace (1.22%). The total has decreased by 1.5 points over thirty days, after peaking at 11.09%. Today's movement could impact the remaining positions. In terms of valuation, the stock is trading at approximately 10.8 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 9.5 times those of 2027, compared to an average of 17.8 times for the Industrials sector, according to the consensus of fourteen analysts. Earnings per share growth from one fiscal year to the next is expected at 13.6%. The next key date is the publication of the first half of 2026 revenue on July 23.
SectorTickets restaurants›Services de traitement des transactions
Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
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