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Legrand stock rebounds despite triple moving average ceiling to overcome

Legrand is showing signs of recovery on Wednesday, posting one of the sharpest rallies on the Paris exchange while the CAC 40 advances modestly. This rebound comes after a difficult week that saw the stock lose more than 7% and successively break through its three moving averages.


Legrand stock rebounds despite triple moving average ceiling to overcome

A rebound insufficient to offset the pressure from moving averages

Legrand gains 1.54% during the session at €135.00, recovering some of the ground lost over the past week. The stock remains, however, below all of its moving averages: the 20-day MA at €137.33 and the 50-day MA at €137.43 form a ceiling approximately 1.7% above the current price, while the 200-day MA at €139.65 lies further away, at a 3.33% gap. This triple moving average ceiling underscores that today's rebound has not yet restored the technical configuration of the stock.

The RSI at 42 remains in negative territory without reaching oversold conditions, reflecting recent selling pressure still present. The support level at €132.35 offers a nearby floor, just over 2% below the current price.

Solid fundamentals driven by data centers, in a tense macroeconomic context

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Despite the recent stock market correction, results published on July 29, 2026 for the first half showed robust operational momentum: Legrand posted record sales growth of +17% on an organic basis, driven by strong demand for data center equipment, and raised its annual targets. This favorable fundamental backdrop contrasts with today's macroeconomic environment, marked by the highly anticipated Federal Reserve decision, widely expected to raise its benchmark rate by 25 basis points from the current level of 3.6%. A rise in U.S. interest rates mechanically weighs on valuations sensitive to financing conditions, which may explain part of the volatility observed on Legrand since early September.

Moreover, the construction sector outlook in France remains under pressure (sector confidence at -18.2 and housing permits declining 8% year-on-year), a context weighing on demand for electrical equipment outside data centers. Wednesday's session remains to be confirmed: the stock will need to break through its 20-day MA at €137.33 to lend credibility to a turnaround.



Sector Machines et équipements industriels Équipements électroniques


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 5 400 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 5 400 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: 13,1 %
  • EBITDA: 1 263 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 23,4 %
  • Net income: 698,2 millions d'euros
  • 5 755 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • Legrand enregistre un semestre solide avec à nouveau une croissance record de ses ventes de +17% hors change et toujours une excellente rentabilité ; Objectifs annuels 2026 relevés
Risks mentioned
  • Situation géopolitique et économique qualifiée de « très évolutive » par la direction
  • Effets de change négatifs, la croissance publiée étant inférieure à la croissance hors change
  • Dépendance croissante à la dynamique du marché des centres de données
Opportunities identified
  • Croissance record de +17 % hors change tirée par les centres de données
  • Sept acquisitions créatrices de valeur dans la transition énergétique et numérique
  • Nombreux lancements de produits nouveaux dans le cadre du plan stratégique
Outlook / guidance
  • Expected revenue: 11 140 millions d'euros
  • Management commentary: sales growth (excluding currency effects) of between +16% and +19% (vs. +10% and +15% previously), comprising organic growth of between +8% and +10% (vs. +4% and +7% previously), and growth through acquisitions of around +8% (vs. between +6% and +8% previously); ■ adjusted operating margin (after acquisitions) of between 20.5% and 21.0% of sales (unchanged)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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