LVMH Stock Rebounds 2% Despite New Lowered Price Target
The world's leading luxury company recovers 2.09% to €465.80 mid-session, with the CAC 40 up by 0.89%. The stock is among the top gainers in the CAC 40. Avior Capital Markets issued a new price target today.
Avior Capital Markets Lowers Target to €601.08 While Maintaining Outperformance Rating
On May 19, Avior Capital Markets adjusted its price target on LVMH, reducing it from €629.65 to €601.08, while maintaining its outperformance rating. Based on the current price, the new target offers a theoretical potential of about 29%. This revision follows a series of downward adjustments observed earlier: in mid-May, two other firms also lowered their price targets while maintaining a buy opinion. In terms of valuation, based on the consensus of 19 analysts (updated May 15, 2026), the stock is trading at approximately 20.7 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 17.9 times those of next year, compared to a sector average for 'consumer discretionary' of 14.7 times. The expected growth in earnings per share from one year to the next is 15.3%.
The Stock Returns to Its 20-Day Moving Average but Remains 14.4% Below Its 200-Day Average
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Today's rebound brings the price right back to the 20-day moving average at €463.54, after having traded below this benchmark in recent sessions. The 50-day average, at €472.50, remains 1.8% above the current price. The longer-term gap remains significant: the 200-day average at €542 is still 14.4% above the price, indicating a still-degraded medium-term dynamic. The RSI at 44 remains neutral, and the price is trading at the mid-Bollinger band (51%). During the session, the stock moves away from the support at €444.95, which was already tested yesterday midday. The next resistance is at €499.40. In terms of sector context, jewelry/gold sales in China increased by 11.7% year-on-year in March 2026 according to the NBS, and Chinese retail trade shows a year-on-year increase of 1.7%. The stock's performance is down 13.1% over three months and 7.9% over a year.
LVMH will draw on its powerful brands and the talent of its teams to reinforce its global leadership position in luxury goods once again in 2026
Risks mentioned
Uncertain geopolitical and economic environment affecting global business activity
Slowdown in demand in China impacting Fashion & Leather Goods segment
Market sensitivity to exchange rate fluctuations (negative 3% impact in 9M 2026)
Opportunities identified
Continued growth in Watches & Jewelry with 8% organic growth driven by strong jewelry performance
Strong performance of Sephora in Selective Retailing with market share gains and network expansion
Recovery in Wines & Spirits champagne business and good momentum in Asia for Hennessy cognac
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: LVMH will draw on its powerful brands and the talent of its teams to reinforce its global leadership position in luxury goods once again in 2026. Despite an economic and geopolitical environment that remains uncertain, the Group remains confident and will maintain a strategy focused on continuously enhancing the desirability of its brands.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.