Orange Stock Breaks Support and Falls 17% in Three Months, Against the Grain of the CAC 40
The decline continues for Orange this Friday, while the CAC 40 advances nearly 1% during the session. The stock loses ground for the second consecutive session, intensifying a downward dynamic that has now stretched over several weeks and places the operator among the rare securities in the red on the Paris index.
Support Broken in Session Below €15, Three Moving Averages Penetrated
The Orange stock declines 0.76% to €14.99 during the session, breaking through its support threshold at €15.10, which it fails to reclaim. This breakthrough reflects a broader deterioration: the price is now trading below its three reference moving averages, the MA20 at €16.13, the MA50 at €16.31 and the MA200 at €16.38, with gaps of -7.10% on the MA20, -8.12% on the MA50 and -8.52% on the MA200. The RSI at 30 reflects a configuration close to oversold conditions, a signal that selling pressure over recent weeks has weighed heavily on the stock.
Over the past week, the stock has lost nearly 7%, and more than 17% over three months, making it one of the most degraded performances in the CAC 40 over this horizon. The next significant resistance level to monitor is at €17.40, representing a gap of more than 16% above the current price.
Orange Isolated in the Red as the CAC 40 Rises, Adverse Sector Trend Confirmed
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In a favorable Paris market this Friday, with the CAC 40 up 0.98% during the session, the contrast is striking for Orange: the operator ranks among the largest decliners in the CAC 40, while luxury stocks, such as Hermès and LVMH, record the best performances on the index. The stock had already fallen 3% the previous day by breaking through an initial support level at €15.76, and continues its decline today by breaking through the €15.10 threshold, confirming the acceleration of the downward dynamic. The VIX at 14.47, lower than the previous session, reflects a globally serene environment that is insufficient to halt pressure on the stock.
The widening gap between the price and long-term moving averages summarizes the underlying trend: Orange remains under pressure in a context where telecom stocks have not benefited from the broader rebound in European indices. The analyst consensus opinion will be a useful benchmark for assessing whether this prolonged decline is changing the market's views on the stock.
SectorTélécommunications›Services de Télécommunications
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Context
Period
Period: 1S2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 20.9MD€
EBITDA: 6.1MD€
Net income: 3.6MD€
Free cash flow: 1.9MD€
35.7MD€
Guidance from the release
Ce semestre est un marqueur fort de l'exécution de notre plan stratégique Trust the future.
Orange affiche un premier semestre 2026 record avec un chiffre d'affaires de 20,9 milliards d'euros (+3,5 %) et un EBITDAaL de 6,1 milliards d'euros (+5,0 %), portés par l'Afrique et Moyen-Orient (+13,9 %), Europe 6 (+4,1 %) et la France (+1,2 %). Hors éléments non récurrents du wholesale en France au 1er trimestre, la croissance sous-jacente serait d'environ 3,0 % pour le chiffre d'affaires et 3,7 % pour l'EBITDAaL. Le cash-flow organique atteint 2,2 milliards d'euros (+497 millions d'euros) et le free cash-flow all-in 1,9 milliard d'euros (+774 millions d'euros). Le résultat net de 3,6 milliards d'euros intègre un gain de 2,4 milliards d'euros lié à la prise de contrôle exclusif de MasOrange ; le résultat net ajusté progresse de 11,8 % à plus de 1,35 milliard d'euros. L'endettement financier net s'élève à 35,7 milliards d'euros (ratio de 2,4x) après l'acquisition de MasOrange. Orange Business reste en recul (-3,1 %).
Risks mentioned
Orange Business en repli de -3,1 %, toujours pénalisé par un environnement de marché difficile
EBITDAaL d'Orange Business en baisse de -6,4 % sur le semestre
Endettement net porté à 35,7 milliards d'euros, ratio dette/EBITDAaL à 2,4x après MasOrange
Acquisition de SFR soumise aux autorisations réglementaires et de concurrence, sans certitude de réalisation
Opportunities identified
Contrôle exclusif à 100 % de MasOrange renforçant la position en Espagne
Projet d'acquisition conjointe de SFR pour environ 5,6 milliards d'euros de part Orange
Croissance à deux chiffres en Afrique et Moyen-Orient (+13,9 % de chiffre d'affaires)
Création d'une coentreprise datacenters avec Morrison, capacité cible de 400 MW
Relèvement des objectifs annuels : EBITDAaL >4 % et cash-flow organique d'environ 4,3 milliards d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
