Sodexo Shares Drop 29% in a Year: Two Banks Further Lower Their Targets
Sodexo's stock fell by 0.85% this Wednesday, trading at 39.52 euros in mid-afternoon, following a challenging week with a nearly 12% decline over seven days. Two major investment banks simultaneously lowered their price targets on April 15, adding pressure on a stock that has lost 29% over the past year.
The session is marked by the publication of two significant target revisions for Sodexo. RBC Capital reduced its target from 50 to 45 euros, accompanied by a 'sector perform' recommendation. On the other hand, Goldman Sachs was more severe, lowering its target from 52 to 44.50 euros while maintaining a 'neutral' opinion. Despite these cuts, both targets remain above the current price, suggesting a potential revaluation between 12.5% and 13.9% relative to the 39.52 euros noted during the session. This movement occurs as the CAC 40 itself is down by 0.52% in the session, and the SBF 120 is down by 0.47%. In the restaurant and services sector, European comparables are almost stable: Accor is up by 0.07% and Just Eat Takeaway by 0.05%. Across the Atlantic, the situation is more mixed, with Marriott International up nearly 2% while McDonald's drops by 0.42%. Sodexo thus appears as a weak link within its sector.
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Graphically, the stock is trading very close to its lower Bollinger band, located at 39.14 euros, indicating a potential oversold condition. Moreover, the stock is trading well below its 50-day moving average (44.70 euros), a gap of more than five euros that highlights the magnitude of the recent correction. The next financial event on the calendar is the third-quarter revenue release, scheduled for July 2, 2026. Until then, the identifiable technical support threshold is at 38.62 euros, a level not yet tested during today's session. If broken, there is no significant recent floor in the short term, which could expose the stock to another episode of weakness.
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Context
Period
Period: FY2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 23 963 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -0,5 %
Net income: 304 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 379 millions d'euros
2 872 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Résultats de l'exercice 2026 : croissance interne au-dessus des objectifs ; perspectives confirmées pour l'exercice 2027
Risks mentioned
Facteurs opérationnels pesant sur la marge tout au long de l'exercice
Enjeux d'exécution opérationnelle marqués en Amérique du Nord
Baisse de l'EBITDA reflétant les charges et provisions liées à la revue des contrats et actifs
Opportunities identified
Contrat mondial avec Meta montant progressivement en puissance au cours de l'exercice 2027
Croissance interne soutenue en Reste du Monde (+9,7%), notamment en Inde, Australie et Brésil
Santé & Séniors enregistre une forte croissance portée par la montée en puissance de nouveaux contrats
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 24 562 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Sodexo confirme les perspectives pour l'exercice 2027 présentées lors de son Investor Update de juillet 2026 : une croissance interne du chiffre d'affaires comprise entre +2% et +3% ; une marge d'exploitation globalement en ligne avec les 3,4% atteints sur l'exercice 2026, reflet de la poursuite des investissements visant à renforcer les capacités et à restaurer la compétitivité
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.