Sopra Steria Stock Falls Nearly 11% Over One Month
Sopra Steria Group declined during Thursday's session, in a Paris market also under pressure, amid unprecedented tensions for over a decade on French government debt. The consulting and digital services group's shares are now trading below their 20-day and 50-day moving averages, in a particularly cautious market environment.
A Decline Reflecting Difficult Monthly Momentum, With Support at €156.10
Sopra Steria lost 1.97% to €159.50 in trading, a decline in line with that of the SBF 120 (−1.33%) and the CAC 40 (−1.29%), both pressured by tensions on French sovereign rates. The ten-year OAT is approaching its highest level since 2008, rising to 4.86% on Thursday, while the spread with the German Bund reached its highest level since 2012 at 1.30 percentage points. Over one month, the stock has declined 10.74%, which puts into perspective the quarterly rebound of 14.26% posted over three months.
The nearest support at €156.10 now represents a gap of just under 2% below the current price. If this level were to be tested, it would be an area already monitored during the bearish phases of summer.
Short Positions Declining, Contained Valuation and Confirmed Guidance
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Regarding net short positions, speculative pressure has eased: 2.89% of capital is sold short according to the declarations reviewed, compared to 3.47% thirty days ago, a decline of 0.58 percentage points. This 0.58 percentage point decline over one month suggests that some investors have reduced their bearish exposure, without reversing the trend. The stock is also trading at just under nine times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year according to the consensus of analysts surveyed, a modest level for the sector. As a reminder, during the publication of first-half 2026 results (July 29, 2026), management raised its annual organic growth target to +2.0%/+2.5%, driven notably by aerospace and defense-security-space. The analyst consensus incorporates an earnings per share growth of approximately 11% year-over-year, which, combined with the easing of short positions, tempers today's selling pressure.
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 2 959 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 2 959 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 4,1 %
EBITDA: 276,7 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 11,4 %
Net income: 146,3 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: -143,6 millions d'euros
618,7 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Relèvement de l'objectif annuel de croissance organique. Cette progression, conjuguée à nos perspectives pour le second semestre, nous permet de relever notre objectif annuel
Risks mentioned
Impact dilutif de 1,8 point lié à l'arrêt du programme SFT, environ 2 points attendus par trimestre
Hausse temporaire du taux de sous-traitance pesant sur la marge en France (9,5 % contre 10,2 %)
Pays-Bas encore en décroissance modérée, Allemagne et Belgique quasi stables
Opportunities identified
Relèvement de l'objectif annuel de croissance organique à +2,0 % / +2,5 %
Croissance forte de l'aéronautique (+12 %) et de la défense-sécurité-espace (+10 %)
Acquisitions de Starion et Nexova créant un acteur européen du spatial et de la cybersécurité
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 5 800 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Flux net de trésorerie disponible d'environ 5 % du chiffre d'affaires
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.