Vicat Shares Close Up 4.3% at the Paris Stock Exchange
The shares of the Isère-based cement company Vicat ended the session on Thursday, January 22, with a rebound of 4.31%, bringing the price to 79.80 euros from 76.50 euros the previous day. This increase is part of a broader upward trend, with a weekly gain of 3.64% and a three-month surge of 28.71%. The cement group now shows an outstanding annual performance of 107.3%, supported by recent revisions of analyst recommendations and a favorable technical dynamic.
Recent days have seen a renewed interest from financial intermediaries in the stock. On January 14, Barclays significantly upgraded its recommendation from neutral to overweight, along with a target price increase from 86 to 93 euros. This target offers a potential appreciation of 16.5% from the current level of 79.80 euros. The British bank believes that the valuation gap with sector competitors is no longer justified, particularly in light of ongoing projects in Senegal and the group's debt reduction strategy. Two days earlier, Citi also revised its target price from 69 to 80 euros while maintaining a neutral opinion on the stock. This new target implies almost no margin for progression from the current price. The convergence of these revisions reflects a reevaluation of the cement company's potential, after a period where cash flows had struggled to materialize since 2021. Analysts anticipate an improvement soon thanks to the ramp-up of the new Senegalese kiln, which is expected to generate about 60 million euros in additional EBITDA and allow the closure of aging production lines.
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From a technical standpoint, Vicat's stock is now trading above its main moving averages, indicating an established upward trend. The price of 79.80 euros significantly exceeds the 50-day moving average at 72.86 euros and the 200-day moving average at 61.99 euros, with a gap of respectively 9.5% and 28.8%. This position reflects a positive momentum that is sustainable. The stock has recently crossed the resistance level at 79 euros, paving the way for further gains. The RSI indicator is at 52, indicating a balanced market without extremes in either overbought or oversold zones. This neutrality allows for the continuation of the upward movement without immediate risk of a technical correction. The one-month volatility stands at 6.79%, a contained level for a stock of this capitalization, while a beta of 0.15 confirms the low correlation with general market movements. The next level to watch is around the psychological threshold of 80 euros, a mark that the stock has already tested in session before closing slightly below.
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Context
Period
Period: 1S2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 2036M€
EBITDA: 367M€
EBITDA margin: 18,0%
Net income: 133M€
Free cash flow: -36M€
1327M€
Guidance from the release
Une nouvelle fois, le Groupe livre de solides résultats, portés par des hausses de prix dans la quasi-totalité des géographies, la confirmation de la reprise des volumes aux États-Unis et la très bonne dynamique des pays émergents.
Vicat affiche une croissance organique du chiffre d'affaires de +10,8 % (+8,0 % en publié, effet de change défavorable de -69 M€) et un EBITDA en hausse de +13,6 % à périmètre et change constants, avec une marge portée à 18,0 %. La performance est tirée par l'Afrique (Sénégal, four 6), le Brésil, l'Égypte et le Kazakhstan, tandis que l'Europe reste résiliente et que les États-Unis et l'Inde reculent en rentabilité. Le cash-flow libre est négatif à -36 M€ du fait de la saisonnalité et du besoin en fonds de roulement, mais l'endettement net baisse sur un an à 1 327 M€ (leverage 1,65x). Les objectifs 2026 sont relevés.
Risks mentioned
Hausse des coûts de l'énergie devant se matérialiser davantage au second semestre
Effets de change défavorables (dollar, roupie indienne, livres turque et égyptienne)
Visibilité limitée aux États-Unis et en Inde, prix volatils et concurrence tendue
Contexte géopolitique au Moyen-Orient pouvant affecter l'activité et la logistique
Opportunities identified
Contribution en année pleine du four 6 au Sénégal améliorant les coûts de production
Hausses de prix annoncées aux États-Unis à compter de l'été
Acquisition d'Araïko renforçant les capacités en intelligence artificielle industrielle
Demande liée aux data centers dans le Sud-Est des États-Unis
Projet Catch4climate : démarrage du démonstrateur oxyfuel de seconde génération
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.