The oil and gas sector sees an 18% increase in one month
TotalEnergies and Galp Energia Lead a Nearly Unanimous Movement
Among the twelve stocks observed in the sector, eleven are on the rise, indicating a fundamental trend rather than an isolated phenomenon. Galp Energia leads the charge with a 19.25% jump over the past month, while TotalEnergies, a heavyweight in the segment with a market capitalization of €162.6 billion, shows a 15.41% increase over the same period and gains an additional 2.62% this Tuesday. Vallourec, a supplier for the oil markets, rises 3.69% today (+7.02% over one month). The broader energy sector confirms this trend with a 1.82% increase today and 22 out of 25 stocks in the green. In the background, Brent is at $104.01 per barrel (+2.96%) and WTI is recovering at $97.45 (+3.29%), sustaining the upward momentum. However, the context remains tense: the VIX, at 27.19, indicates a high level of market stress, while the DAX shows a slight decline of 0.10%.
An Attractive Positioning, Yet Dependent on Central Bank Decisions
The week is set to be decisive for the sector. The Fed, the ECB, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are all holding their monetary policy meetings simultaneously—a rare event last seen at the end of 2021. The consensus anticipates a cautious status quo, as policymakers wish to assess the persistence of the energy shock before adjusting their trajectories. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) also urged central banks on Monday not to overreact, suggesting that the surge in energy prices might remain temporary.
For investors exposed to the sector, the equation remains one of balancing the mechanical support from high crude prices against the risk of a rapid reversal when geopolitical tensions ease or if unexpected monetary tightening dampens demand. Brent maintaining above $100 represents a major psychological threshold: as long as it holds, the sector retains a strong catalyst. However, the high volatility prompts close monitoring of central bank statements for the rest of the week.
This content has been automatically translated using artificial intelligence. While we strive for accuracy, some nuances may differ from the original French version.
