AXA Shares Decline by 2.45% and Fall Below Their 50-Day Moving Average
AXA shares recorded a decrease of 2.45% to 38.57 euros this Tuesday morning, February 10, after closing at 39.54 euros the previous day. This correction follows a week already marked by a slight decline of 0.92%. However, the pan-European insurer still shows a positive performance over three months (+2.83%) and over one year (+2.69%).
Today's decline now positions the share price below the 50-day moving average, set at 39.53 euros, a technical threshold closely watched by investors. This situation marks a short-term dynamic change for the insurer, especially as the share price also moves below the 200-day moving average set at 40.38 euros. The RSI remains at 51, indicating a still neutral position with no signs of overselling or overbuying. The distance from the support identified at 37.71 euros offers limited leeway in case of continued selling pressure. Conversely, the resistance positioned at 41.14 euros remains a distant target in the current context. The one-month volatility stands at 5.22, reflecting contained fluctuations for a financial sector stock.
Market Focus Shifts to Upcoming Financial Results
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Market attention is turning towards the announcement of the annual results for 2025, scheduled for February 26th. This event will give investors an opportunity to assess the operational trajectory of the group in an environment characterized by rising interest rates and the evolution of technical results. The general assembly, scheduled for April 30, 2026, will then be a key moment for the validation of the shareholder remuneration policy. The insurance group, which holds major positions in continental Europe and is gradually expanding its footprint in Asia, will also need to detail its prospects in the current geopolitical and economic context. These elements will allow for a better appreciation of the group's ability to maintain profitability and cash generation in a sector subject to constant regulatory changes.
we expect underlying earnings of circa. Euro 8.6 billion with underlying EPS growth at the top end of the target range
Risks mentioned
Softening market conditions in large commercial P&C
Natural catastrophe exposure with normalized Nat Cat load of 4.5 points of combined ratio
Interest rate sensitivity with -50bp interest rates shock expected to result in -1pt impact in Solvency II ratio
Opportunities identified
Growth in Life & Savings segment driven by ageing populations and pressure on existing systems
Expansion in direct distribution channel with rising demand for affordable insurance and digital experiences
Deployment of AI across value chain with expected annual recurring benefits of €500-700m (pre-tax) by 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 500 millions d'euros
Expected net income: 8 600 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
